Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #44,543 of 84,120 nationally
Berdell Hills Eviction Risk: Lower , Normandy
Tract 29189212400 · St. Louis County, MO · pop 2,216 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
With a score of 6.4/10, tract 29189212400 in the Berdell Hills area of Normandy ranks in the Elevated tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 2,216 residents. That is riskier than roughly 85% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 47% of renter households, a severe level, and 7% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,194 a month against an average household income of $51,146 a year, roughly 28% of income at the averages. About 43% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%
Stable renters 23%
Owners 57%
Tract context
Occupied units739
Renter share42.9%
SVI overall0.60
Poverty rate7.8%
Median income$51,146
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
77
th percentile
High
Within state
51
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Normandy and the region
Centroid at 38.7275, -90.2890 · click any tract to drill in
Why Berdell Hills scores 3.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Normandy
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
7.8% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$1,194 rent vs county FMR
4.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Normandy
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Normandy
9.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Normandy
8.6
How Berdell Hills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 60
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 68%Socioeconomic
- 46%Household composition
- 91%Racial/ethnic minority
- 33%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 15%Grade B
- 1%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 303Total filings over 8 yrs
- 12.90%Avg annual filing rate
- 15.6%Peak (2017)
- 52Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 49% over the past 8 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 256Total filings 2020-21
- 3.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.25×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Berdell Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 23.5%Housing insecurity
- 17.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 24.5%Food insecurity
- 21.3%SNAP enrollment
- 13.8%Transit barriers
- 9.1%No health insurance
- 18.9%Frequent mental distress
- 38.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Berdell Hills
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 9.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Normandy, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the St. Louis County average of 5.6 and above the Missouri statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 303 eviction filings here over 8 tracked years, with about 12.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 15.6% of renter households in 2017.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 29189212400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29189212400?
Census tract 29189212400 in the Berdell Hills neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29189212400?
Median gross rent is $1,194/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29189212400?
7.8% of residents in tract 29189212400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,216.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29189212400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 60th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 68th, household 46th, minority 91th, housing 33th.
Q5
Is tract 29189212400 considered part of Berdell Hills?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29189212400 fall within Berdell Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29189212400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 303 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 29189212400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.90% of renter households, peaking at 15.6% in 2017. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 29189212400 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.25× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 29189212400 struggle to pay rent?
About 23.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 29189212400 compare to Normandy overall?
Tract 29189212400 scores 3.8/10, higher than the parent city of Normandy at 3.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Normandy; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 29189212400 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Normandy
Top eight tracts in Normandy ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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