Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #80,791 of 84,120 nationally
Varsity neighborhood Eviction Risk: Lower , University City
Tract 29189216401 · St. Louis County, MO · pop 2,504 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
Tract 29189216401 covers the Varsity neighborhood area of University City in Missouri. Home to 2,504 residents, it scores 5.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 49% of US census tracts.
About 30% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a moderate level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,356 a month while the average household earns $157,800 a year, roughly 10% of income at the averages. About 25% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
1.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 75%
Tract context
Occupied units1,110
Renter share25.1%
SVI overall0.06
Poverty rate4.0%
Median income$157,800
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
14
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
4
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across University City and the region
Centroid at 38.6451, -90.3329 · click any tract to drill in
Why Varsity neighborhood scores 1.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from University City
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
4.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,356 rent vs county FMR
6.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from University City
3.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from University City
8.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from University City
4.1
How Varsity neighborhood compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 6
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 1%Socioeconomic
- 40%Household composition
- 28%Racial/ethnic minority
- 12%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: A: Best
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 100%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 15Total filings 2020-21
- 0.2Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.31×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Varsity neighborhood. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 4.8%Housing insecurity
- 3.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 4.5%Food insecurity
- 2.7%SNAP enrollment
- 3.5%Transit barriers
- 3.8%No health insurance
- 11.2%Frequent mental distress
- 26.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Varsity neighborhood
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from University City eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the St. Louis County average of 5.6 and above the Missouri statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of A ("Best"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 6th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 29189216401
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29189216401?
Census tract 29189216401 in the Varsity neighborhood neighborhood scores 1.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29189216401?
Median gross rent is $1,356/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29189216401?
4.0% of residents in tract 29189216401 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,504.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29189216401?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 6th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 1th, household 40th, minority 28th, housing 12th.
Q5
Is tract 29189216401 considered part of Varsity neighborhood?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29189216401 fall within Varsity neighborhood (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 29189216401 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.31× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 29189216401 struggle to pay rent?
About 4.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 29189216401 compare to University City overall?
Tract 29189216401 scores 1.3/10, lower than the parent city of University City at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from University City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 29189216401 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in University City
Top eight tracts in University City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related
Explore the geography around tract 29189216401
Parent city ↑
University City
2.7 / 10
Parent county ↑
St. Louis County
Parent state ↑
Missouri
Sibling tract →
Varsity neighborhood
1.7 / 10
Sibling tract →
Varsity neighborhood
1.8 / 10
Sibling tract →
Varsity neighborhood
2.3 / 10
Methodology
How the score is built
Interactive map
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