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Neighborhood · University City, MO

Varsity neighborhood Eviction Risk: Lower

9 census tracts · pop 25,163 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 2.9/10 · range 1.3–5.3

Varsity neighborhood is a white-black neighborhood in University City with 9 census tracts and a population of 25,163 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 2.9/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 29% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 17% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,295/month sits 2% lower than the University City citywide average ($1,319).

Risk score
2.9
Lower
9 tracts · population-weighted
Varsity neighborhood vs University City How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
28.9% +6%
University City: 27.2%
Average gross rent
$1,295 -2%
University City: $1,319
Average HH income
$103,063 +19%
University City: $86,283
Poverty rate
12.5% -11%
University City: 14.1%
Renter share
33.9% -23%
University City: 43.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Varsity neighborhood and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 9 tracts span score 1.3–5.3

Why Varsity neighborhood scores 2.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.1–2.1 across tracts
2.1
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Rent control risk
29% of income on rent · Range 1.8–9.5 across tracts
2.3
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.2–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
34% renter households · Range 2.7–9.2 across tracts
3.6
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.1–9.3 across tracts
2.6
Economic stress
12.5% below poverty line · Range 1.0–10.0 across tracts
3.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.1–7.7 across tracts
5.7
Risk score comparison

Varsity neighborhood vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Varsity neighborhood score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Varsity neighborho: 2.92.9Varsity neighborhoNeighborhoodParent city: 2.72.7Parent cityhost cityState: 2.62.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Varsity neighborhood?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 4 points from 1.3 to 5.3. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

9 tracts in Varsity neighborhood

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
29189216101 5.3 2,804 60% $1,205
29189214100 5.2 1,061 76% $984
29189215902 4.2 3,267 13% $1,065
29189216000 3.8 1,595 59% $1,135
29189215901 2.7 2,794 9% $1,545
29189216202 2.3 3,533 29% $1,301
29189216201 1.8 3,910 24% $1,505
29189215801 1.7 3,695 13% $1,270
29189216401 1.3 2,504 30% $1,356
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 22

Pop-weighted across 9 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 28%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 24%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 49%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 23%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Varsity neighborhood

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 579Total filings (sum)
  • 16.12%Avg annual filing rate
  • 26.9%Peak year (2012)
  • 16.05%Latest filed (2017)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 1,116Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.6Avg monthly observed
  • 2.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.78×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon, OR).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Varsity neighborhood

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Varsity neighborhood

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Varsity neighborhood?

Varsity neighborhood scores 2.9/10 (Lower tier) across 9 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Varsity neighborhood compare to University City overall?

Varsity neighborhood scores 0.2 points higher than University City overall (2.7/10). Renters spend 29% of income on rent vs 27% citywide. Average rent: $1,295 vs $1,319.
Q3

What is the average rent in Varsity neighborhood?

Average gross rent in Varsity neighborhood is $1,295/month (pop-weighted across 9 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Varsity neighborhood residents are renters?

34% of Varsity neighborhood households are renter-occupied (vs 44% in University City). The neighborhood has 25,163 residents.
Q5

Is Varsity neighborhood a high social-vulnerability area?

Varsity neighborhood sits in the 22nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Varsity neighborhood have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Varsity neighborhood is census tract 29189216101 (score 5.3/10). Across the 9 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 1.3 to 5.3, a spread of 4 points.
Q7

How safe is Varsity neighborhood for landlords?

Varsity neighborhood carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (2.9/10). Pop-weighted across 9 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to University City as a whole (2.7/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Varsity neighborhood?

Varsity neighborhood has 25,322 residents (White-Black Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (59.4%), Black (non-Hispanic) (27.3%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (4.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Varsity neighborhood

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside University City

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Varsity neighborhood.

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