Neighborhood · University City, MO

Varsity neighborhood Eviction Risk: Lower

9 census tracts · pop 25,163 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.7/10 · range 3–6

Varsity neighborhood spans 9 census tracts of University City, MO, population 25,163. The Eviction Risk Score is 3.7/10, in the Lower tier. The 9 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 3 to 6, a 3-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address.

Rent consumes at least 30% of income for 29% of renter households. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 2.3/10.

17% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. Well under the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.5/10. Filings are well documented here: 579 across 2 observed tracts.

On the softer side is housing-court posture, at 2.6/10. The worst year on record was 2012, when filings touched 26.9% of renter households. Recent filings have not receded much: 16.4% in 2017 against a 26.9% peak.

Against average income of $103,063, annual rent is only 15%, a wide affordability cushion. Average gross rent runs $1,295, close to the University City average.

34% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 3 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score

3.7

Lower

9 tracts · population-weighted

Varsity neighborhood vs University City How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

28.9% +6%

University City: 27.2%

Average gross rent

$1,295 -2%

University City: $1,319

Average HH income

$103,063 +19%

University City: $86,283

Poverty rate

12.5% -11%

University City: 14.1%

Renter share

33.9% -23%

University City: 43.8%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Varsity neighborhood and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 9 tracts span score 3–6

Why Varsity neighborhood scores 3.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 2.1–2.1 across tracts

2.1

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts

6.2

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts

8.5

Rent control risk

29% of income on rent · Range 1.8–9.5 across tracts

2.3

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.2–2.5 across tracts

2.5

Tenant organizing strength

34% renter households · Range 2.7–9.2 across tracts

3.6

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 2.1–9.3 across tracts

2.6

Economic stress

12.5% below poverty line · Range 1.0–10.0 across tracts

3.2

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.1–7.7 across tracts

5.7

Risk score comparison

Varsity neighborhood vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Varsity neighborhood?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 3 points from 3 to 6. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.

Tracts as heat grid

6.0 4.8 4.8 4.6 3.1 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

9 tracts in Varsity neighborhood

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
29189214100	6	1,061	76%	$984
29189215902	4.8	3,267	13%	$1,065
29189216101	4.8	2,804	60%	$1,205
29189216000	4.6	1,595	59%	$1,135
29189215901	3.1	2,794	9%	$1,545
29189216201	3	3,910	24%	$1,505
29189215801	3	3,695	13%	$1,270
29189216202	3	3,533	29%	$1,301
29189216401	3	2,504	30%	$1,356

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 22

Pop-weighted across 9 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 28%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 24%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 49%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 23%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Varsity neighborhood

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

579Total filings (sum)
16.12%Avg annual filing rate
26.9%Peak year (2012)
16.05%Latest filed (2017)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

1,116Total filings 2020-21
1.6Avg monthly observed
2.0Pre-pandemic baseline
0.78×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon, OR).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Varsity neighborhood

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

11.5%Housing insecurity
8.9%Utility shutoff threat
12.0%Food insecurity
9.7%SNAP enrollment
6.0%No health insurance
30.0%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Varsity neighborhood

What is the eviction-risk score for Varsity neighborhood?

Varsity neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier) across 9 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Varsity neighborhood compare to University City overall?

Varsity neighborhood scores 0.3 points higher than University City overall (3.4/10). Renters spend 29% of income on rent vs 27% citywide. Average rent: $1,295 vs $1,319.

What is the average rent in Varsity neighborhood?

Average gross rent in Varsity neighborhood is $1,295/month (pop-weighted across 9 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Varsity neighborhood residents are renters?

34% of Varsity neighborhood households are renter-occupied (vs 44% in University City). The neighborhood has 25,163 residents.

Is Varsity neighborhood a high social-vulnerability area?

Varsity neighborhood sits in the 22nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Varsity neighborhood have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Varsity neighborhood is census tract 29189214100 (score 6/10). Across the 9 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 6, a spread of 3 points.

How safe is Varsity neighborhood for landlords?

Varsity neighborhood carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.7/10). Pop-weighted across 9 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to University City as a whole (3.4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Varsity neighborhood?

Varsity neighborhood has 25,322 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (59.4%), Black (non-Hispanic) (27.3%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (4.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Varsity neighborhood

3.4 Wydown Skinker 2 tracts · pop 9,770 4.8 Arbor Terrace 3 tracts · pop 11,993 4.7 Ellendale 3 tracts · pop 8,166 6.2 Berdell Hills 5 tracts · pop 14,501 6 North Pointe 2 tracts · pop 6,312 4.5 Saint Louis Hills 2 tracts · pop 7,996

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside University City

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Varsity neighborhood.

4.8 Skinker DeBaliviere 1 tracts · pop 3,180

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