Within neighborhood
25
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #76,223 of 84,120 nationally
Varsity neighborhood Eviction Risk: Lower , University City
Tract 29189216201 · St. Louis County, MO · pop 3,910 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
The Varsity neighborhood neighborhood of University City is where census tract 29189216201 sits, home to 3,910 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 4.6/10. On the national scale it ranks #62,677 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
About 24% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a moderate level, and 7% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,505 a month against an average household income of $138,602 a year, roughly 13% of income at the averages. Renters make up 29% of occupied homes.
Risk score
1.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 22%
Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units1,878
Renter share28.6%
SVI overall0.02
Poverty rate5.5%
Median income$138,602
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
10
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
27
th percentile
Low
Within state
10
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across University City and the region
Centroid at 38.6578, -90.3272 · click any tract to drill in
Why Varsity neighborhood scores 1.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from University City
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
5.5% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,505 rent vs county FMR
7.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from University City
1.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from University City
2.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from University City
2.1
How Varsity neighborhood compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 2
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 10%Socioeconomic
- 8%Household composition
- 29%Racial/ethnic minority
- 3%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: A: Best
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 97%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 160Total filings 2020-21
- 2.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.30×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Varsity neighborhood. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.8%Housing insecurity
- 5.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.2%Food insecurity
- 5.0%SNAP enrollment
- 5.3%Transit barriers
- 5.1%No health insurance
- 14.7%Frequent mental distress
- 26.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Varsity neighborhood
The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 7.4/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from University City eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the St. Louis County average of 5.6 and in line with the Missouri statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 7.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.30x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 29189216201
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29189216201?
Census tract 29189216201 in the Varsity neighborhood neighborhood scores 1.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29189216201?
Median gross rent is $1,505/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 24% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29189216201?
5.5% of residents in tract 29189216201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,910.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29189216201?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 2th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 10th, household 8th, minority 29th, housing 3th.
Q5
Is tract 29189216201 considered part of Varsity neighborhood?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29189216201 fall within Varsity neighborhood (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 29189216201 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.30× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 29189216201 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 29189216201 compare to University City overall?
Tract 29189216201 scores 1.8/10, lower than the parent city of University City at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from University City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 29189216201 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in University City
Top eight tracts in University City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MO
Varsity neighborhood
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MO
Skinker DeBaliviere
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MO
Varsity neighborhood
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MO
29189215700
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MO
29189215802
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MO
Varsity neighborhood
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MO
29189215803
2.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MO
Varsity neighborhood
2.7
/ 10 · Low
Related
Explore the geography around tract 29189216201
Parent city ↑
University City
2.7 / 10
Parent county ↑
St. Louis County
Parent state ↑
Missouri
Sibling tract →
Varsity neighborhood
1.7 / 10
Sibling tract →
Varsity neighborhood
2.3 / 10
Sibling tract →
Varsity neighborhood
1.3 / 10
Methodology
How the score is built
Interactive map
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