Valley Park Eviction Risk: Lower

36% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The dominant input is supply constraint at 10/10.

Average gross rent is $2,640, 83% above the Valley Park average. The voucher gap is 117.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 9/10.

Running cool, economic stress reads 1.1/10. Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income of $95,878, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

SNAP participation runs 4.2% against 15.2% nationally. Housing insecurity runs 6.7% against 14.2% nationally. Nationally it ranks #57,812 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Only 16% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.