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Neighborhood · Ranked #31,159 of 84,120 nationally

Central Park South Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lincoln

Tract 31109000900 · Lancaster County, NE · pop 3,270 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Census tract 31109000900 sits in the Central Park South area of Lincoln eviction risk, Nebraska eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of 4.7/10. It lands near the 28th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 53% of renter households, a severe level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,039 a month against an average household income of $46,651 a year, roughly 27% of income at the averages. About 62% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33% Stable renters 29% Owners 38%
Tract context
Occupied units1,598
Renter share61.6%
SVI overall0.51
Poverty rate16.3%
Median income$46,651

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Central Park South
Very High
Within parent city
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#17 of 76 tracts In Lincoln
High
Within county
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#17 of 81 tracts In Lancaster County
High
Within state
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#93 of 553 tracts In Nebraska
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lincoln and the region

Centroid at 40.8257, -96.6628 · click any tract to drill in

Why Central Park South scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lincoln
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Nebraska legislature & governorship
1.8
Economic stress
16.3% poverty · this tract
4.1
Supply constraint
$1,039 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lincoln
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lincoln
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lincoln
3.0

How Central Park South compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Central Park South risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.64.6This tracttract 000900Lincoln: 3.13.1Lincolnparent cityCounty: 3.63.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.43.4Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 51

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 352Total filings over 14 yrs
  • 2.26%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.9%Peak (2008)
  • 33Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 311090009002002: 22 filings (2.03/100 renter HHs)2003: 12 filings (1.11/100 renter HHs)2005: 25 filings (2.29/100 renter HHs)2006: 30 filings (2.75/100 renter HHs)2007: 27 filings (2.47/100 renter HHs)2008: 43 filings (3.94/100 renter HHs)2009: 15 filings (1.37/100 renter HHs)2010: 19 filings (1.79/100 renter HHs)2011: 18 filings (1.54/100 renter HHs)2012: 27 filings (2.31/100 renter HHs)2013: 18 filings (1.54/100 renter HHs)2014: 35 filings (3.00/100 renter HHs)2015: 28 filings (2.40/100 renter HHs)2016: 33 filings (3.03/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 50% over the past 14 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Central Park South. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Central Park South

The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 4.2/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lincoln eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Lancaster County average of 4.4 and above the Nebraska statewide average of 3.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 9.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 51st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 31109000900

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 31109000900?

Census tract 31109000900 in the Central Park South neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 31109000900?

Median gross rent is $1,039/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 31109000900?

16.3% of residents in tract 31109000900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,270.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 31109000900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 51th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 60th, household 9th, minority 32th, housing 79th.
Q5

Is tract 31109000900 considered part of Central Park South?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 31109000900 fall within Central Park South (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 31109000900?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 352 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 31109000900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.26% of renter households, peaking at 3.9% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 31109000900 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 31109000900 compare to Lincoln overall?

Tract 31109000900 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Lincoln at 3.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lincoln eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 31109000900 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lincoln

Top eight tracts in Lincoln ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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