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Neighborhood · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally

Central Park South Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lincoln

Tract 31109000900 · Lancaster County, NE · pop 3,270 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Census tract 31109000900 covers part of the Central Park South area of Lincoln, NE, and scores 4.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,270 residents. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33% Stable renters 29% Owners 38%
Tract context
Occupied units1,598
Renter share61.6%
SVI overall0.51
Poverty rate16.3%
Median income$46,651

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Central Park South
Very High
Within parent city
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#16 of 76 tracts In Lincoln
High
Within county
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#17 of 81 tracts In Lancaster County
High
Within state
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#67 of 553 tracts In Nebraska
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lincoln and the region

Centroid at 40.8257, -96.6628 · click any tract to drill in

Why Central Park South scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lincoln
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Nebraska legislature & governorship
1.8
Economic stress
16.3% poverty · this tract
4.1
Supply constraint
$1,039 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lincoln
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lincoln
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lincoln
3.0

How Central Park South compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Central Park South risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.9This tracttract 0009003.6Lincolnparent city3.8Countyavg tract in county3.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 51

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 352Total filings over 14 yrs
  • 2.26%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.9%Peak (2008)
  • 33Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 31109000900
Filings climbed 50% over the past 14 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Central Park South. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Central Park South

On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.8/10. Cost burden runs 53% here against 43.9% across Lancaster County. Severe burden reaches 17%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

It sits 1.1 points above the Lancaster County average of 3.8. The filing record is not thin: 352 evictions over 14 years of observation.

Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 3/10. SNAP participation runs 8.0% against 15.2% nationally. The worst year on record was 2008, when 3.9% of renter households were served.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 2.3% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 59% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the NE average is 3.7, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Average gross rent is $1,039, close to the Lincoln average.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 31109000900

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 31109000900?

Census tract 31109000900 in the Central Park South neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 31109000900?

Median gross rent is $1,039/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 31109000900?

16.3% of residents in tract 31109000900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,270.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 31109000900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 51th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 60th, household 9th, minority 32th, housing 79th.
Q5

Is tract 31109000900 considered part of Central Park South?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 31109000900 fall within Central Park South (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 31109000900?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 352 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 31109000900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.26% of renter households, peaking at 3.9% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 31109000900 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 31109000900 compare to Lincoln overall?

Tract 31109000900 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Lincoln at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lincoln eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 31109000900 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lincoln

Top eight tracts in Lincoln ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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