Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #39,389 of 84,120 nationally
Central Park South Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lincoln
Tract 31109001002 · Lancaster County, NE · pop 1,910 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Census tract 31109001002 belongs to Central Park South in Lincoln, Nebraska. It is home to 1,910 residents and scores 4.6/10, a moderate reading for landlords. That is riskier than about 25% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 49% of renter households, a severe level, and 19% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,071 a month while the average household earns $48,611 a year, roughly 26% of income at the averages. Renters make up 87% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 43%
Stable renters 44%
Owners 13%
Tract context
Occupied units1,134
Renter share87.1%
SVI overall0.53
Poverty rate10.7%
Median income$48,611
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
60
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
64
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
71
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lincoln and the region
Centroid at 40.8174, -96.6466 · click any tract to drill in
Why Central Park South scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lincoln
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Nebraska legislature & governorship
1.8
Economic stress
10.7% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$1,071 rent vs county FMR
4.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lincoln
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lincoln
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lincoln
3.0
How Central Park South compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 53
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 69%Socioeconomic
- 6%Household composition
- 46%Racial/ethnic minority
- 75%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 69%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 87Total filings over 14 yrs
- 1.70%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.4%Peak (2012)
- 8Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 300% over the past 14 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Central Park South. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.1%Housing insecurity
- 6.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.9%Food insecurity
- 10.1%SNAP enrollment
- 7.9%Transit barriers
- 10.4%No health insurance
- 16.0%Frequent mental distress
- 29.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Central Park South
What moves this score most is supply constraint at 4.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lincoln eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Lancaster County average of 4.4 and above the Nebraska statewide average of 3.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 53rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 87 eviction filings here over 14 tracked years, with about 1.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 1.4% of renter households in 2012.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 31109001002
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 31109001002?
Census tract 31109001002 in the Central Park South neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 31109001002?
Median gross rent is $1,071/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 31109001002?
10.7% of residents in tract 31109001002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,910.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 31109001002?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 53th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 69th, household 6th, minority 46th, housing 75th.
Q5
Is tract 31109001002 considered part of Central Park South?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 31109001002 fall within Central Park South (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 31109001002?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 87 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 31109001002 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.70% of renter households, peaking at 1.4% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 31109001002 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 31109001002 compare to Lincoln overall?
Tract 31109001002 scores 4.1/10, higher than the parent city of Lincoln at 3.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lincoln eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 31109001002 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lincoln
Top eight tracts in Lincoln ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NE
North Lincoln
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NE
Airspace
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NE
Telegraph District
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NE
Downtown
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NE
Hillsdale
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NE
North Lincoln
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NE
Kimco Industrial Park
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NE
H.J.B. Industrial Park
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Related