Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally
Park Valley Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lincoln
Tract 31109001003 · Lancaster County, NE · pop 3,995 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Tract 31109001003 sits in the Park Valley eviction risk Heights area of Lincoln eviction risk, NE, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.2/10. It is home to 3,995 residents. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27%
Stable renters 47%
Owners 26%
Tract context
Occupied units1,975
Renter share73.7%
SVI overall0.59
Poverty rate12.4%
Median income$61,969
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
63
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
61
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
74
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lincoln and the region
Centroid at 40.8245, -96.6431 · click any tract to drill in
Why Park Valley Heights scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lincoln
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Nebraska legislature & governorship
1.8
Economic stress
12.4% poverty · this tract
3.1
Supply constraint
$1,078 rent vs county FMR
4.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lincoln
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lincoln
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lincoln
3.0
How Park Valley Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 59
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 54%Socioeconomic
- 53%Household composition
- 39%Racial/ethnic minority
- 68%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 8%Grade B
- 46%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 239Total filings over 14 yrs
- 2.18%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.5%Peak (2013)
- 17Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 21% over the past 14 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.3%Housing insecurity
- 6.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.0%Food insecurity
- 9.2%SNAP enrollment
- 7.5%Transit barriers
- 10.1%No health insurance
- 16.1%Frequent mental distress
- 26.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Park Valley Heights
This is renter territory: 74% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.8/10. 36% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the Lancaster County average of 43.9%.
Severe burden reaches 14%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Court records carry 239 eviction filings across 14 observed years. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 3/10.
Filings peaked in 2013 at 2.5% of renter households. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Lincoln. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 2.2% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 46th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.3/10. It tracks the Lancaster County average of 3.8 closely.
Average gross rent is $1,078, close to the Lincoln average.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 31109001003
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 31109001003?
Census tract 31109001003 in the Park Valley Heights neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 31109001003?
Median gross rent is $1,078/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 31109001003?
12.4% of residents in tract 31109001003 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,995.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 31109001003?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 59th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 54th, household 53th, minority 39th, housing 68th.
Q5
Is tract 31109001003 considered part of Park Valley Heights?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 31109001003 fall within Park Valley Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 31109001003?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 239 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 31109001003 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.18% of renter households, peaking at 2.5% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 31109001003 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 31109001003 compare to Lincoln overall?
Tract 31109001003 scores 4.2/10, higher than the parent city of Lincoln at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lincoln eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 31109001003 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lincoln
Top eight tracts in Lincoln ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NE
H.J.B. Industrial Park
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NE
Cather
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NE
Kimco Industrial Park
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NE
Hillsdale
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NE
Makers Row
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NE
North Lincoln
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NE
Telegraph District
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NE
North Lincoln
5
/ 10 · Moderate
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