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Neighborhood · Ranked #61,757 of 84,120 nationally

Cotner Terrace Eviction Risk: Lower , Lincoln

Tract 31109001101 · Lancaster County, NE · pop 4,619 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

The Moderate-tier score of 4.3/10 for census tract 31109001101 reflects conditions in the Cotner Terrace area of Lincoln, Nebraska. That is riskier than about 18% of US census tracts.

52% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 18% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $857 a month against an average household income of $93,776 a year, roughly 11% of income at the averages. Renters make up 25% of occupied homes.

Risk score
2.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 12% Owners 75%
Tract context
Occupied units1,866
Renter share25.2%
SVI overall0.18
Poverty rate4.1%
Median income$93,776

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Cotner Terrace
Moderate
Within parent city
21 th percentile
Rank, 21st percentileLowHigh
#60 of 76 tracts In Lincoln
Low
Within county
28 th percentile
Rank, 28th percentileLowHigh
#59 of 81 tracts In Lancaster County
Low
Within state
36 th percentile
Rank, 36th percentileLowHigh
#354 of 553 tracts In Nebraska
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lincoln and the region

Centroid at 40.8428, -96.6168 · click any tract to drill in

Why Cotner Terrace scores 2.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lincoln
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Nebraska legislature & governorship
1.8
Economic stress
4.1% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$857 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lincoln
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lincoln
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lincoln
3.0

How Cotner Terrace compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Cotner Terrace risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.82.8This tracttract 001101Lincoln: 3.13.1Lincolnparent cityCounty: 3.63.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.43.4Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 18

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 131Total filings over 14 yrs
  • 3.28%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.3%Peak (2016)
  • 19Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 311090011012002: 2 filings (0.79/100 renter HHs)2003: 7 filings (2.75/100 renter HHs)2005: 2 filings (0.73/100 renter HHs)2006: 13 filings (4.76/100 renter HHs)2007: 9 filings (3.29/100 renter HHs)2008: 8 filings (2.93/100 renter HHs)2009: 3 filings (1.10/100 renter HHs)2010: 5 filings (1.63/100 renter HHs)2011: 11 filings (4.14/100 renter HHs)2012: 12 filings (4.51/100 renter HHs)2013: 9 filings (3.38/100 renter HHs)2014: 15 filings (5.64/100 renter HHs)2015: 16 filings (6.02/100 renter HHs)2016: 19 filings (4.31/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 850% over the past 14 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Cotner Terrace

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lincoln eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Lancaster County average of 4.4 and above the Nebraska statewide average of 3.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 18th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 31109001101

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 31109001101?

Census tract 31109001101 in the Cotner Terrace neighborhood scores 2.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 31109001101?

Median gross rent is $857/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 31109001101?

4.1% of residents in tract 31109001101 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,619.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 31109001101?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 18th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 14th, household 13th, minority 28th, housing 50th.
Q5

Is tract 31109001101 considered part of Cotner Terrace?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 31109001101 fall within Cotner Terrace (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 31109001101?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 131 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 31109001101 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.28% of renter households, peaking at 4.3% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 31109001101 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 31109001101 compare to Lincoln overall?

Tract 31109001101 scores 2.8/10, lower than the parent city of Lincoln at 3.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lincoln eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 31109001101 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lincoln

Top eight tracts in Lincoln ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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