Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #61,757 of 84,120 nationally
Heritage Pines Eviction Risk: Lower , Lincoln
Tract 31109001302 · Lancaster County, NE · pop 3,150 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Census tract 31109001302 runs through the Heritage Pines neighborhood of Lincoln. With 3,150 residents, it scores 4.5/10 for landlords. It lands near the 23rd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
47% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 8% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,610 a month against an average household income of $94,886 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. About 10% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
2.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%
Stable renters 5%
Owners 90%
Tract context
Occupied units1,227
Renter share10.3%
SVI overall0.19
Poverty rate3.1%
Median income$94,886
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
24
th percentile
Low
Within county
29
th percentile
Low
Within state
36
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lincoln and the region
Centroid at 40.7927, -96.6340 · click any tract to drill in
Why Heritage Pines scores 2.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lincoln
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Nebraska legislature & governorship
1.8
Economic stress
3.1% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,610 rent vs county FMR
9.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lincoln
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lincoln
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lincoln
3.0
How Heritage Pines compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 19
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 25%Socioeconomic
- 81%Household composition
- 35%Racial/ethnic minority
- 3%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 12%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 42Total filings over 13 yrs
- 2.96%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.0%Peak (2012)
- 2Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 100% over the past 14 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.5%Housing insecurity
- 4.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.2%Food insecurity
- 6.0%SNAP enrollment
- 4.7%Transit barriers
- 6.9%No health insurance
- 12.0%Frequent mental distress
- 26.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Heritage Pines
The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 9.3/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lincoln eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Lancaster County average of 4.4 and above the Nebraska statewide average of 3.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 42 eviction filings here over 13 tracked years, with about 3.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 7.0% of renter households in 2012.
In CDC survey modeling, about 6.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 31109001302
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 31109001302?
Census tract 31109001302 in the Heritage Pines neighborhood scores 2.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 31109001302?
Median gross rent is $1,610/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 31109001302?
3.1% of residents in tract 31109001302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,150.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 31109001302?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 19th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 25th, household 81th, minority 35th, housing 3th.
Q5
Is tract 31109001302 considered part of Heritage Pines?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 31109001302 fall within Heritage Pines (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 31109001302?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 42 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 31109001302 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.96% of renter households, peaking at 7.0% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 31109001302 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 31109001302 compare to Lincoln overall?
Tract 31109001302 scores 2.8/10, lower than the parent city of Lincoln at 3.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lincoln eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 31109001302 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lincoln
Top eight tracts in Lincoln ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NE
Telegraph District
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NE
North Lincoln
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NE
Airspace
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NE
Hillsdale
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NE
North Lincoln
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NE
Downtown
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NE
Kimco Industrial Park
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NE
H.J.B. Industrial Park
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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