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Neighborhood · Ranked #34,332 of 84,120 nationally

Lincoln Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 31109003002 · Lancaster County, NE · pop 3,279 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

The Lincoln Heights area of Lincoln anchors census tract 31109003002, which lands at 4.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #60,248 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

53% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 23% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,100 monthly, set against $52,731 in average yearly household income, roughly 25% of income at the averages. About 43% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23% Stable renters 20% Owners 57%
Tract context
Occupied units1,499
Renter share43.1%
SVI overall0.67
Poverty rate15.4%
Median income$52,731

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Lincoln Heights
Moderate
Within parent city
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#18 of 76 tracts In Lincoln
High
Within county
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#21 of 81 tracts In Lancaster County
High
Within state
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#116 of 553 tracts In Nebraska
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lincoln and the region

Centroid at 40.8443, -96.7066 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lincoln Heights scores 4.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lincoln
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Nebraska legislature & governorship
1.8
Economic stress
15.4% poverty · this tract
3.8
Supply constraint
$1,100 rent vs county FMR
4.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lincoln
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lincoln
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lincoln
3.0

How Lincoln Heights compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lincoln Heights risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.44.4This tracttract 003002Lincoln: 3.13.1Lincolnparent cityCounty: 3.63.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.43.4Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 67

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 387Total filings over 14 yrs
  • 4.06%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.2%Peak (2007)
  • 33Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 311090030022002: 16 filings (2.34/100 renter HHs)2003: 20 filings (2.93/100 renter HHs)2005: 26 filings (3.48/100 renter HHs)2006: 35 filings (4.68/100 renter HHs)2007: 39 filings (5.21/100 renter HHs)2008: 38 filings (5.08/100 renter HHs)2009: 27 filings (3.61/100 renter HHs)2010: 25 filings (3.72/100 renter HHs)2011: 27 filings (4.38/100 renter HHs)2012: 27 filings (4.38/100 renter HHs)2013: 29 filings (4.70/100 renter HHs)2014: 21 filings (3.40/100 renter HHs)2015: 24 filings (3.89/100 renter HHs)2016: 33 filings (5.08/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 106% over the past 14 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lincoln Heights

What moves this score most is supply constraint at 4.8/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lincoln eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Lancaster County average of 4.4 and above the Nebraska statewide average of 3.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 67th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

Part of this tract, about 30% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was C ("Declining"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 31109003002

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 31109003002?

Census tract 31109003002 in the Lincoln Heights neighborhood scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 31109003002?

Median gross rent is $1,100/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 31109003002?

15.4% of residents in tract 31109003002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,279.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 31109003002?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 67th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 71th, household 93th, minority 52th, housing 26th.
Q5

Is tract 31109003002 considered part of Lincoln Heights?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 31109003002 fall within Lincoln Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 31109003002?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 387 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 31109003002 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.06% of renter households, peaking at 5.2% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 31109003002 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 31109003002 compare to Lincoln overall?

Tract 31109003002 scores 4.4/10, higher than the parent city of Lincoln at 3.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lincoln eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 31109003002 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 30% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lincoln

Top eight tracts in Lincoln ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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