Marina Bay Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lincoln
Tract 31109003301 · Lancaster County, NE · pop 3,877 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Census tract 31109003301 covers part of the Marina Bay area of Lincoln, NE, and scores 4.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,877. Cost burden runs 29% here against 43.9% across Lancaster County.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Lincoln and the region
Centroid at 40.8234, -96.7324 · click any tract to drill in
Why Marina Bay scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Marina Bay compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 43
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 40%Socioeconomic
- 9%Household composition
- 22%Racial/ethnic minority
- 87%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 1%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 460Total filings over 14 yrs
- 4.61%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.3%Peak (2007)
- 46Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.6%Housing insecurity
- 6.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.5%Food insecurity
- 9.3%SNAP enrollment
- 7.6%Transit barriers
- 8.5%No health insurance
- 15.5%Frequent mental distress
- 25.6%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Marina Bay
Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.8/10. Severe burden reaches 16%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 460 filings here across 14 tracked years. Against the Lancaster County average of 3.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.8 points. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 3/10.
At $1,221 a month, rents run 12% over what the rest of Lincoln commands. The worst year on record was 2007, when 9.3% of renter households were served.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 4.6% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 53rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Social vulnerability reads 4.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the NE average is 3.7, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
About tract 31109003301
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 31109003301?
What is the average rent in tract 31109003301?
What is the poverty rate in tract 31109003301?
How socially vulnerable is tract 31109003301?
Is tract 31109003301 considered part of Marina Bay?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 31109003301?
What share of households in tract 31109003301 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 31109003301 compare to Lincoln overall?
Was tract 31109003301 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Lincoln
Top eight tracts in Lincoln ranked by composite eviction-risk score.