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Neighborhood · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally

Marina Bay Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lincoln

Tract 31109003301 · Lancaster County, NE · pop 3,877 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Census tract 31109003301 covers part of the Marina Bay area of Lincoln, NE, and scores 4.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,877. Cost burden runs 29% here against 43.9% across Lancaster County.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 41% Owners 43%
Tract context
Occupied units1,719
Renter share57.3%
SVI overall0.43
Poverty rate17.9%
Median income$65,238

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Marina Bay
Moderate
Within parent city
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#22 of 76 tracts In Lincoln
Elevated
Within county
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#23 of 81 tracts In Lancaster County
Elevated
Within state
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#95 of 553 tracts In Nebraska
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lincoln and the region

Centroid at 40.8234, -96.7324 · click any tract to drill in

Why Marina Bay scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lincoln
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Nebraska legislature & governorship
1.8
Economic stress
17.9% poverty · this tract
4.5
Supply constraint
$1,221 rent vs county FMR
5.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lincoln
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lincoln
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lincoln
3.0

How Marina Bay compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Marina Bay risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.6This tracttract 0033013.6Lincolnparent city3.8Countyavg tract in county3.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 43

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 460Total filings over 14 yrs
  • 4.61%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.3%Peak (2007)
  • 46Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 31109003301
Filings climbed 283% over the past 14 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Marina Bay

Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.8/10. Severe burden reaches 16%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 460 filings here across 14 tracked years. Against the Lancaster County average of 3.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.8 points. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 3/10.

At $1,221 a month, rents run 12% over what the rest of Lincoln commands. The worst year on record was 2007, when 9.3% of renter households were served.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 4.6% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 53rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Social vulnerability reads 4.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the NE average is 3.7, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 31109003301

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 31109003301?

Census tract 31109003301 in the Marina Bay neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 31109003301?

Median gross rent is $1,221/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 31109003301?

17.9% of residents in tract 31109003301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,877.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 31109003301?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 43th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 40th, household 9th, minority 22th, housing 87th.
Q5

Is tract 31109003301 considered part of Marina Bay?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 31109003301 fall within Marina Bay (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 31109003301?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 460 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 31109003301 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.61% of renter households, peaking at 9.3% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 31109003301 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 31109003301 compare to Lincoln overall?

Tract 31109003301 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Lincoln at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lincoln eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 31109003301 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lincoln

Top eight tracts in Lincoln ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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