Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #34,332 of 84,120 nationally
Marina Bay Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lincoln
Tract 31109003301 · Lancaster County, NE · pop 3,877 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 31109003301 (the Marina Bay neighborhood of Lincoln, Nebraska) comes in at 4.2/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than roughly 16% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
29% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a moderate level, and 16% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,221 a month while the average household earns $65,238 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. Renters make up 57% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16%
Stable renters 41%
Owners 43%
Tract context
Occupied units1,719
Renter share57.3%
SVI overall0.43
Poverty rate17.9%
Median income$65,238
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
71
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
79
th percentile
High
Within state
79
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lincoln and the region
Centroid at 40.8234, -96.7324 · click any tract to drill in
Why Marina Bay scores 4.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lincoln
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Nebraska legislature & governorship
1.8
Economic stress
17.9% poverty · this tract
4.5
Supply constraint
$1,221 rent vs county FMR
5.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lincoln
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lincoln
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lincoln
3.0
How Marina Bay compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 43
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 40%Socioeconomic
- 9%Household composition
- 22%Racial/ethnic minority
- 87%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 1%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 460Total filings over 14 yrs
- 4.61%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.3%Peak (2007)
- 46Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 283% over the past 14 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.6%Housing insecurity
- 6.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.5%Food insecurity
- 9.3%SNAP enrollment
- 7.6%Transit barriers
- 8.5%No health insurance
- 15.5%Frequent mental distress
- 25.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Marina Bay
What moves this score most is supply constraint at 5.9/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lincoln eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Lancaster County average of 4.4 and in line with the Nebraska statewide average of 3.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 460 eviction filings here over 14 tracked years, with about 4.6% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 9.3% of renter households in 2007.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 31109003301
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 31109003301?
Census tract 31109003301 in the Marina Bay neighborhood scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 31109003301?
Median gross rent is $1,221/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 31109003301?
17.9% of residents in tract 31109003301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,877.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 31109003301?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 43th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 40th, household 9th, minority 22th, housing 87th.
Q5
Is tract 31109003301 considered part of Marina Bay?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 31109003301 fall within Marina Bay (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 31109003301?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 460 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 31109003301 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.61% of renter households, peaking at 9.3% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 31109003301 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 31109003301 compare to Lincoln overall?
Tract 31109003301 scores 4.4/10, higher than the parent city of Lincoln at 3.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lincoln eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 31109003301 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lincoln
Top eight tracts in Lincoln ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NE
Telegraph District
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NE
North Lincoln
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NE
Airspace
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NE
Hillsdale
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NE
North Lincoln
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NE
Downtown
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NE
Kimco Industrial Park
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NE
H.J.B. Industrial Park
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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