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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Foreman Ridge Eviction Risk: Lower , Lincoln

Tract 31109003604 · Lancaster County, NE · pop 3,560 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Census tract 31109003604 covers part of the Foreman Ridge area of Lincoln, NE, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Against Lancaster County at 43.9%, about one in five of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 16% Owners 80%
Tract context
Occupied units1,506
Renter share20.4%
SVI overall0.18
Poverty rate3.4%
Median income$136,736

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Foreman Ridge
Moderate
Within parent city
23 th percentile
Rank, 23rd percentileLowHigh
#59 of 76 tracts In Lincoln
Low
Within county
13 th percentile
Rank, 13th percentileLowHigh
#71 of 81 tracts In Lancaster County
Very Low
Within state
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#360 of 553 tracts In Nebraska
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lincoln and the region

Centroid at 40.7387, -96.7476 · click any tract to drill in

Why Foreman Ridge scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lincoln
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Nebraska legislature & governorship
1.8
Economic stress
3.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,405 rent vs county FMR
7.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lincoln
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lincoln
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lincoln
3.0

How Foreman Ridge compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Foreman Ridge risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 0036043.6Lincolnparent city3.8Countyavg tract in county3.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 18

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 38Total filings over 13 yrs
  • 6.43%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.6%Peak (2013)
  • 2Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 31109003604
Filings dropped 100% over the past 14 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Foreman Ridge

Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10. Average gross rent is $1,405, 29% above the Lincoln average.

The voucher gap is 24.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.8/10.

SNAP participation runs 3.9% against 15.2% nationally. Court records carry 38 eviction filings across 13 observed years. Against the Lancaster County average of 3.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.6% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Filings peaked in 2013 at 6.6% of renter households. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Lincoln. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 31109003604

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 31109003604?

Census tract 31109003604 in the Foreman Ridge neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 31109003604?

Median gross rent is $1,405/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 20% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 31109003604?

3.4% of residents in tract 31109003604 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,560.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 31109003604?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 18th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 9th, household 29th, minority 21th, housing 46th.
Q5

Is tract 31109003604 considered part of Foreman Ridge?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 31109003604 fall within Foreman Ridge (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 31109003604?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 38 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 31109003604 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.43% of renter households, peaking at 6.6% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 31109003604 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 31109003604 compare to Lincoln overall?

Tract 31109003604 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Lincoln at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lincoln eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 31109003604 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lincoln

Top eight tracts in Lincoln ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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