Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #72,539 of 84,120 nationally
Foreman Ridge Eviction Risk: Lower , Lincoln
Tract 31109003604 · Lancaster County, NE · pop 3,560 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
How risky is the Foreman Ridge neighborhood of Lincoln for landlords? Census tract 31109003604 scores 3.6/10, the Lower tier. It lands near the 6th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 20% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a modest level, and 8% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,405 monthly, set against $136,736 in average yearly household income, roughly 12% of income at the averages. About 20% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
2.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 80%
Tract context
Occupied units1,506
Renter share20.4%
SVI overall0.18
Poverty rate3.4%
Median income$136,736
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
1
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
8
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
12
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lincoln and the region
Centroid at 40.7387, -96.7476 · click any tract to drill in
Why Foreman Ridge scores 2.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lincoln
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Nebraska legislature & governorship
1.8
Economic stress
3.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,405 rent vs county FMR
7.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lincoln
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lincoln
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lincoln
3.0
How Foreman Ridge compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 18
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 9%Socioeconomic
- 29%Household composition
- 21%Racial/ethnic minority
- 46%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 1%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 38Total filings over 13 yrs
- 6.43%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.6%Peak (2013)
- 2Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 100% over the past 14 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.2%Housing insecurity
- 3.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.0%Food insecurity
- 3.9%SNAP enrollment
- 3.8%Transit barriers
- 5.3%No health insurance
- 11.1%Frequent mental distress
- 22.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Foreman Ridge
What moves this score most is supply constraint at 7.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lincoln eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Lancaster County average of 4.4 and in line with the Nebraska statewide average of 3.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 18th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 38 eviction filings here over 13 tracked years, with about 6.4% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 6.6% of renter households in 2013.
For a landlord, this is among the easier places to operate: faster process, lighter tenant-protection overhead, and shorter typical cases.
Frequently asked
About tract 31109003604
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 31109003604?
Census tract 31109003604 in the Foreman Ridge neighborhood scores 2.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 31109003604?
Median gross rent is $1,405/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 20% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 31109003604?
3.4% of residents in tract 31109003604 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,560.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 31109003604?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 18th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 9th, household 29th, minority 21th, housing 46th.
Q5
Is tract 31109003604 considered part of Foreman Ridge?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 31109003604 fall within Foreman Ridge (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 31109003604?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 38 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 31109003604 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.43% of renter households, peaking at 6.6% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 31109003604 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 31109003604 compare to Lincoln overall?
Tract 31109003604 scores 2.1/10, lower than the parent city of Lincoln at 3.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lincoln eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 31109003604 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lincoln
Top eight tracts in Lincoln ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NE
North Lincoln
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NE
Telegraph District
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NE
Airspace
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NE
North Lincoln
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NE
Hillsdale
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NE
Downtown
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NE
Kimco Industrial Park
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NE
H.J.B. Industrial Park
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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