Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #37,882 of 84,120 nationally
Tower District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Papillion
Tract 31153010619 · Sarpy County, NE · pop 4,227 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Census tract 31153010619 covers part of the Tower District area of Papillion, NE, and scores 4.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. Against Sarpy County at 37.2%, 57% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26%
Stable renters 20%
Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units1,654
Renter share46.3%
SVI overall0.25
Poverty rate9.5%
Median income$73,542
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
96
th percentile
Very High
Within state
86
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Papillion and the region
Centroid at 41.1472, -96.0317 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tower District scores 4.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Papillion
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.4
State political climate
Nebraska legislature & governorship
1.8
Economic stress
9.5% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$1,026 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Papillion
4.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Papillion
6.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Papillion
3.7
How Tower District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 25
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 26%Socioeconomic
- 19%Household composition
- 17%Racial/ethnic minority
- 51%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 351Total filings over 11 yrs
- 3.92%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.2%Peak (2012)
- 28Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 33% over the past 11 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Tower District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.7%Housing insecurity
- 6.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.8%Food insecurity
- 7.6%SNAP enrollment
- 6.1%Transit barriers
- 8.0%No health insurance
- 14.4%Frequent mental distress
- 25.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Tower District
The severe-burden share is 23%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The main counterweight is state political climate at 1.8/10.
On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.9/10. Average gross rent is $1,026, 19% below the Papillion average. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.4/10.
Against the Sarpy County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.0 points. Court records carry 351 eviction filings across 11 observed years.
SNAP participation runs 7.6% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 10.8% against 17.8% nationally.
Filings peaked in 2012 at 5.2% of renter households. In a typical year about 3.9% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 55% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Rent consumes only 17% of average household income of $73,542, an unusually wide affordability cushion.
Statewide the NE average is 3.7, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 31153010619
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 31153010619?
Census tract 31153010619 in the Tower District neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 31153010619?
Median gross rent is $1,026/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 31153010619?
9.5% of residents in tract 31153010619 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,227.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 31153010619?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 25th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 26th, household 19th, minority 17th, housing 51th.
Q5
Is tract 31153010619 considered part of Tower District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 31153010619 fall within Tower District (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 31153010619?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 351 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 31153010619 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.92% of renter households, peaking at 5.2% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 31153010619 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 31153010619 compare to Papillion overall?
Tract 31153010619 scores 4.7/10, higher than the parent city of Papillion at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Papillion eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Papillion
Top eight tracts in Papillion ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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