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Neighborhood · Ranked #71,178 of 84,120 nationally

Tower District Eviction Risk: Lower , Papillion

Tract 31153010620 · Sarpy County, NE · pop 6,603 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi

In Tower District in Papillion, census tract 31153010620 scores 4.3/10 for eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 18% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 34% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 22% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,278 a month against an average household income of $96,458 a year, roughly 16% of income at the averages. About 46% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
2.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 31% Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units2,810
Renter share46.3%
SVI overall0.22
Poverty rate8.4%
Median income$96,458

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Tower District
Very Low
Within parent city
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 8 tracts In Papillion
High
Within county
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#18 of 47 tracts In Sarpy County
Elevated
Within state
15 th percentile
Rank, 15th percentileLowHigh
#473 of 553 tracts In Nebraska
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Papillion and the region

Centroid at 41.1325, -96.0211 · click any tract to drill in

Why Tower District scores 2.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Papillion
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.4
State political climate
Nebraska legislature & governorship
1.8
Economic stress
8.4% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$1,278 rent vs county FMR
5.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Papillion
4.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Papillion
6.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Papillion
3.7

How Tower District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Tower District risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.22.2This tracttract 010620Papillion: 2.72.7Papillionparent cityCounty: 2.02.0Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.43.4Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 22

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 87Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 1.28%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.2%Peak (2013)
  • 5Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2003 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 311530106202003: 6 filings (1.31/100 renter HHs)2006: 8 filings (1.11/100 renter HHs)2007: 3 filings (0.42/100 renter HHs)2008: 5 filings (0.70/100 renter HHs)2009: 10 filings (1.39/100 renter HHs)2010: 11 filings (2.14/100 renter HHs)2011: 8 filings (1.32/100 renter HHs)2012: 12 filings (1.99/100 renter HHs)2013: 13 filings (2.15/100 renter HHs)2015: 6 filings (0.99/100 renter HHs)2016: 5 filings (0.55/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 17% over the past 11 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Tower District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Tower District

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 6.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Papillion eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Sarpy County average of 4.1 and above the Nebraska statewide average of 3.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 22nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 87 eviction filings here over 11 tracked years, with about 1.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 2.2% of renter households in 2013.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 31153010620

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 31153010620?

Census tract 31153010620 in the Tower District neighborhood scores 2.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 31153010620?

Median gross rent is $1,278/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 31153010620?

8.4% of residents in tract 31153010620 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,603.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 31153010620?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 22th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 8th, household 14th, minority 25th, housing 72th.
Q5

Is tract 31153010620 considered part of Tower District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 31153010620 fall within Tower District (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 31153010620?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 87 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 31153010620 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.28% of renter households, peaking at 2.2% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 31153010620 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 31153010620 compare to Papillion overall?

Tract 31153010620 scores 2.2/10, lower than the parent city of Papillion at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Papillion eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Papillion

Top eight tracts in Papillion ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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