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Neighborhood · Ranked #48,956 of 84,120 nationally

Tower District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Papillion

Tract 31153010620 · Sarpy County, NE · pop 6,603 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi

31153010620 is a census tract in the Tower District area of Papillion, NE. It scores 4/10 for landlords. Severe burden reaches 22%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 31% Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units2,810
Renter share46.3%
SVI overall0.22
Poverty rate8.4%
Median income$96,458

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Tower District
Very Low
Within parent city
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 8 tracts In Papillion
High
Within county
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#16 of 47 tracts In Sarpy County
Elevated
Within state
69 th percentile
Rank, 69th percentileLowHigh
#172 of 553 tracts In Nebraska
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Papillion and the region

Centroid at 41.1325, -96.0211 · click any tract to drill in

Why Tower District scores 4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Papillion
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.4
State political climate
Nebraska legislature & governorship
1.8
Economic stress
8.4% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$1,278 rent vs county FMR
5.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Papillion
4.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Papillion
6.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Papillion
3.7

How Tower District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Tower District risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.0This tracttract 0106203.5Papillionparent city3.7Countyavg tract in county3.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 22

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 87Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 1.28%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.2%Peak (2013)
  • 5Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2003 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 31153010620
Filings dropped 17% over the past 11 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Tower District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Tower District

The clearest offset is state political climate at 1.8/10. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.9/10.

Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.1/10. SNAP participation runs 5.4% against 15.2% nationally.

Food insecurity runs 8.4% against 17.8% nationally. Court records carry 87 eviction filings across 11 observed years. Filings peaked in 2013 at 2.2% of renter households.

In a typical year about 1.3% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 42nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Rent consumes only 16% of average household income of $96,458, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

roughly one in three of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 31153010620

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 31153010620?

Census tract 31153010620 in the Tower District neighborhood scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 31153010620?

Median gross rent is $1,278/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 31153010620?

8.4% of residents in tract 31153010620 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,603.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 31153010620?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 22th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 8th, household 14th, minority 25th, housing 72th.
Q5

Is tract 31153010620 considered part of Tower District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 31153010620 fall within Tower District (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 31153010620?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 87 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 31153010620 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.28% of renter households, peaking at 2.2% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 31153010620 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 31153010620 compare to Papillion overall?

Tract 31153010620 scores 4/10, higher than the parent city of Papillion at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Papillion eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Papillion

Top eight tracts in Papillion ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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