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Neighborhood · Ranked #50,654 of 84,120 nationally

North End Eviction Risk: Lower , Manchester

Tract 33011000104 · Hillsborough County, NH · pop 3,218 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Tract 33011000104 sits in the North End area of Manchester eviction risk, NH, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.9/10. It is home to 3,218 residents. 43% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 12% Owners 75%
Tract context
Occupied units1,301
Renter share25.2%
SVI overall0.25
Poverty rate12.7%
Median income$143,030

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In North End
Very High
Within parent city
21 th percentile
Rank, 21st percentileLowHigh
#24 of 30 tracts In Manchester
Low
Within county
57 th percentile
Rank, 57th percentileLowHigh
#45 of 103 tracts In Hillsborough County
Elevated
Within state
46 th percentile
Rank, 46th percentileLowHigh
#189 of 349 tracts In New Hampshire
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Manchester and the region

Centroid at 43.0155, -71.4576 · click any tract to drill in

Why North End scores 3.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Manchester
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
New Hampshire legislature & governorship
2.5
Economic stress
12.7% poverty · this tract
3.2
Supply constraint
$1,862 rent vs county FMR
6.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Manchester
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Manchester
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Manchester
3.5

How North End compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
North End risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.9This tracttract 0001044.0Manchesterparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 25

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: A: Best

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within North End. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in North End

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. 53% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Hillsborough County average of 45.2%.

On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.5/10. The voucher gap is 19.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. SNAP participation runs 4.4% against 15.2% nationally.

At $1,862 a month, rents run 19% over what the rest of Manchester commands. Housing insecurity runs 6.2% against 14.2% nationally. Well under the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 3/10.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground A ("Best"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. Nationally it ranks #50,654 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Against average income of $143,030, annual rent is just 16%.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 33011000104

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 33011000104?

Census tract 33011000104 in the North End neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 33011000104?

Median gross rent is $1,862/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 33011000104?

12.7% of residents in tract 33011000104 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,218.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 33011000104?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 25th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 48th, household 12th, minority 13th, housing 29th.
Q5

Is tract 33011000104 considered part of North End?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 33011000104 fall within North End (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 33011000104 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 33011000104 compare to Manchester overall?

Tract 33011000104 scores 3.9/10, right in line with the parent city of Manchester at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Manchester eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 33011000104 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Manchester

Top eight tracts in Manchester ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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