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Neighborhood · Ranked #28,095 of 84,120 nationally

Straw/Smyth Eviction Risk: Moderate , Manchester

Tract 33011000600 · Hillsborough County, NH · pop 2,304 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

33011000600 is a census tract in the Straw/Smyth area of Manchester, NH. It scores 5.3/10 for landlords. It is home to 2,304 residents. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31% Stable renters 42% Owners 27%
Tract context
Occupied units1,098
Renter share73.5%
SVI overall0.74
Poverty rate9.0%
Median income$56,769

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Straw/Smyth
Very High
Within parent city
66 th percentile
Rank, 66th percentileLowHigh
#11 of 30 tracts In Manchester
Elevated
Within county
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 103 tracts In Hillsborough County
High
Within state
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#46 of 349 tracts In New Hampshire
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Manchester and the region

Centroid at 43.0021, -71.4620 · click any tract to drill in

Why Straw/Smyth scores 5.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Manchester
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
New Hampshire legislature & governorship
2.5
Economic stress
9.0% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$1,288 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Manchester
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Manchester
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Manchester
3.5

How Straw/Smyth compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Straw/Smyth risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.3This tracttract 0006004.0Manchesterparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 74

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Straw/Smyth. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Straw/Smyth

26% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. This is renter territory: 74% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.2/10.

Against the Hillsborough County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points. Running cool, state political climate reads 2.5/10.

Average gross rent is $1,288, 18% below the Manchester average. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. On the national scale it lands near the 67th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.6/10. Statewide the NH average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.1 points hotter.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 43% of renters. Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $56,769.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 33011000600

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 33011000600?

Census tract 33011000600 in the Straw/Smyth neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 33011000600?

Median gross rent is $1,288/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 33011000600?

9.0% of residents in tract 33011000600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,304.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 33011000600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 74th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 71th, household 55th, minority 40th, housing 82th.
Q5

Is tract 33011000600 considered part of Straw/Smyth?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 33011000600 fall within Straw/Smyth (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 33011000600 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 33011000600 compare to Manchester overall?

Tract 33011000600 scores 5.3/10, higher than the parent city of Manchester at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Manchester eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 33011000600 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 12% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Manchester

Top eight tracts in Manchester ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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