Neighborhood · Ranked #44,543 of 84,120 nationally

Bakersville Eviction Risk: Lower , Manchester

Tract 33011001900 · Hillsborough County, NH · pop 3,359 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

With a score of 5.1/10, tract 33011001900 in the Bakersville neighborhood of Manchester ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 3,359 residents. That is riskier than roughly 42% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

51% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 22% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,513 a month while the average household earns $92,561 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. About 55% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

3.8

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 28% Stable renters 27% Owners 45%

Tract context

Occupied units1,248

Renter share55.4%

SVI overall0.67

Poverty rate18.1%

Median income$92,561

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Manchester and the region

Centroid at 42.9757, -71.4613 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bakersville scores 3.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Manchester

4.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.4

State political climate

New Hampshire legislature & governorship

2.5

Economic stress

18.1% poverty · this tract

4.5

Supply constraint

$1,513 rent vs county FMR

4.7

Rent control risk

Inherited from Manchester

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Manchester

3.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Manchester

3.5

How Bakersville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 67

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

79%Socioeconomic
7%Household composition
54%Racial/ethnic minority
87%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
4%Grade C
31%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

17.5%Housing insecurity
12.1%Utility-shutoff threat
22.6%Food insecurity
18.0%SNAP enrollment
11.9%Transit barriers
14.4%No health insurance
19.4%Frequent mental distress
32.1%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bakersville

The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 4.7/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Manchester eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Hillsborough County average of 4.7 and in line with the New Hampshire statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 67th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 31% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 33011001900

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 33011001900?

Census tract 33011001900 in the Bakersville neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 33011001900?

Median gross rent is $1,513/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 33011001900?

18.1% of residents in tract 33011001900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,359.

How socially vulnerable is tract 33011001900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 67th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 79th, household 7th, minority 54th, housing 87th.

Is tract 33011001900 considered part of Bakersville?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 33011001900 fall within Bakersville (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 33011001900 struggle to pay rent?

About 17.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 33011001900 compare to Manchester overall?

Tract 33011001900 scores 3.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Manchester at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Manchester eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 33011001900 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 31% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Manchester

Top eight tracts in Manchester ranked by composite eviction-risk score.