Neighborhood · Ranked #66,742 of 84,120 nationally

Lower South Willow/Airport Eviction Risk: Lower , Manchester

Tract 33011002600 · Hillsborough County, NH · pop 5,412 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Lower South Willow/Airport in Manchester is where census tract 33011002600 sits, home to 5,412 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 4.8/10. That is riskier than roughly 32% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

60% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 18% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,708 monthly, set against $104,009 in average yearly household income, roughly 20% of income at the averages. Renters make up 14% of occupied homes.

Risk score

2.5

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 6% Owners 85%

Tract context

Occupied units2,419

Renter share14.2%

SVI overall0.17

Poverty rate2.3%

Median income$104,009

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Manchester and the region

Centroid at 42.9420, -71.4221 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lower South Willow/Airport scores 2.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Manchester

4.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.4

State political climate

New Hampshire legislature & governorship

2.5

Economic stress

2.3% poverty · this tract

1.0

Supply constraint

$1,708 rent vs county FMR

5.9

Rent control risk

Inherited from Manchester

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Manchester

3.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Manchester

3.5

How Lower South Willow/Airport compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 17

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

10%Socioeconomic
24%Household composition
12%Racial/ethnic minority
47%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
1%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lower South Willow/Airport. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

8.5%Housing insecurity
5.6%Utility-shutoff threat
9.4%Food insecurity
6.0%SNAP enrollment
5.5%Transit barriers
6.5%No health insurance
15.7%Frequent mental distress
25.1%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lower South Willow/Airport

What moves this score most is supply constraint at 5.9/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Manchester eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Hillsborough County average of 4.7 and in line with the New Hampshire statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 17th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 33011002600

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 33011002600?

Census tract 33011002600 in the Lower South Willow/Airport neighborhood scores 2.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 33011002600?

Median gross rent is $1,708/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 33011002600?

2.3% of residents in tract 33011002600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,412.

How socially vulnerable is tract 33011002600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 17th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 10th, household 24th, minority 12th, housing 47th.

Is tract 33011002600 considered part of Lower South Willow/Airport?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 33011002600 fall within Lower South Willow/Airport (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 33011002600 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 33011002600 compare to Manchester overall?

Tract 33011002600 scores 2.5/10, lower than the parent city of Manchester at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Manchester eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 33011002600 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Manchester

Top eight tracts in Manchester ranked by composite eviction-risk score.