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Neighborhood · Manchester, NH

Lower South Willow/Airport Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 5,412 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.6/10 · range 3.6–4

Lower South Willow/Airport takes in 2 census tracts of Manchester, NH, population 5,412. The Eviction Risk Score is 3.6/10, in the Lower tier. Cost burden runs 60% against 30.0% citywide, putting Lower South Willow/Airport 30.2% over its own city.

Pulling the other way is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. On the softer side is economic stress, at 1/10.

Severe burden reaches 18%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. SNAP participation is 6.0% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

Well under the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength, at 3/10. Food insecurity affects 9.4% of adults, 8.4 points below the national rate.

At $1,708 a month, rents sit 9% over what the rest of Manchester commands. Among the 22 mapped neighborhoods of Manchester, it ranks #20 by risk, the lower third.

At 14% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. The closest comparables inside the same city are North End and Southeast. Against average income of $104,009, annual rent is only 20%, a wide affordability cushion.

With little internal variation, 3.6/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
3.6
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Lower South Willow/Airport vs Manchester How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
60.2% +101%
Manchester: 30.0%
Average gross rent
$1,708 +9%
Manchester: $1,564
Average HH income
$104,009 +34%
Manchester: $77,415
Poverty rate
2.3% -79%
Manchester: 10.7%
Renter share
14.2% -72%
Manchester: 51.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lower South Willow/Airport and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3.6–4

Why Lower South Willow/Airport scores 3.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.4–5.4 across tracts
5.4
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Rent control risk
60% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
14% renter households · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Economic stress
2.3% below poverty line · Range 1.0–3.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.0–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Risk score comparison

Lower South Willow/Airport vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Lower South Willow/Airport score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.6Lower South WillowNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city4.2Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Lower South Willow/Airport

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
33011980101 4 , , ,
33011002600 3.6 5,412 60% $1,708
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 17

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 10%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 24%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 12%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 47%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Lower South Willow/Airport

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Lower South Willow/Airport

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Lower South Willow/Airport?

Lower South Willow/Airport scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Lower South Willow/Airport compare to Manchester overall?

Lower South Willow/Airport scores 0.4 points lower than Manchester overall (4/10). Renters spend 60% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $1,708 vs $1,564.
Q3

What is the average rent in Lower South Willow/Airport?

Average gross rent in Lower South Willow/Airport is $1,708/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Lower South Willow/Airport residents are renters?

14% of Lower South Willow/Airport households are renter-occupied (vs 51% in Manchester). The neighborhood has 5,412 residents.
Q5

Is Lower South Willow/Airport a high social-vulnerability area?

Lower South Willow/Airport sits in the 17th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Lower South Willow/Airport have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Lower South Willow/Airport is census tract 33011980101 (score 4/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.6 to 4, a spread of 0.4 points.
Q7

How safe is Lower South Willow/Airport for landlords?

Lower South Willow/Airport carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.6/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Manchester as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Lower South Willow/Airport?

Lower South Willow/Airport has 5,689 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (85.8%), Hispanic / Latino (7.9%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (3.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Lower South Willow/Airport

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Manchester

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Lower South Willow/Airport.

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