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Neighborhood · Manchester, NH

Lower South Willow/Airport Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 5,412 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 2.5/10 · range 2.5–2.8

Lower South Willow/Airport is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Manchester with 2 census tracts and a population of 5,412 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 2.5/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 60% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 18% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,708/month sits 9% higher than the Manchester citywide average ($1,564).

Risk score
2.5
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Lower South Willow/Airport vs Manchester How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
60.2% +101%
Manchester: 30.0%
Average gross rent
$1,708 +9%
Manchester: $1,564
Average HH income
$104,009 +34%
Manchester: $77,415
Poverty rate
2.3% -79%
Manchester: 10.7%
Renter share
14.2% -72%
Manchester: 51.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lower South Willow/Airport and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 2.5–2.8

Why Lower South Willow/Airport scores 2.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.4–5.4 across tracts
5.4
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Rent control risk
60% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
14% renter households · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Economic stress
2.3% below poverty line · Range 1.0–3.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.0–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Risk score comparison

Lower South Willow/Airport vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Lower South Willow/Airport score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Lower South Willow: 2.52.5Lower South WillowNeighborhoodParent city: 3.73.7Parent cityhost cityState: 3.93.9Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Lower South Willow/Airport

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
33011980101 2.8
33011002600 2.5 5,412 60% $1,708
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 17

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 10%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 24%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 12%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 47%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Lower South Willow/Airport

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Lower South Willow/Airport

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Lower South Willow/Airport?

Lower South Willow/Airport scores 2.5/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Lower South Willow/Airport compare to Manchester overall?

Lower South Willow/Airport scores 1.2 points lower than Manchester overall (3.7/10). Renters spend 60% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $1,708 vs $1,564.
Q3

What is the average rent in Lower South Willow/Airport?

Average gross rent in Lower South Willow/Airport is $1,708/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Lower South Willow/Airport residents are renters?

14% of Lower South Willow/Airport households are renter-occupied (vs 51% in Manchester). The neighborhood has 5,412 residents.
Q5

Is Lower South Willow/Airport a high social-vulnerability area?

Lower South Willow/Airport sits in the 17th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Lower South Willow/Airport have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Lower South Willow/Airport is census tract 33011980101 (score 2.8/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 2.5 to 2.8, a spread of 0.3 points.
Q7

How safe is Lower South Willow/Airport for landlords?

Lower South Willow/Airport carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (2.5/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Manchester as a whole (3.7/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Lower South Willow/Airport?

Lower South Willow/Airport has 5,689 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (85.8%), Hispanic / Latino (7.9%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (3.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Lower South Willow/Airport

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Manchester

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Lower South Willow/Airport.

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