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Neighborhood · Ranked #3,157 of 84,120 nationally

The Shades Eviction Risk: Elevated , Union City

Tract 34017017100 · Hudson County, NJ · pop 5,075 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

In The Shades in Union City, census tract 34017017100 scores 6.9/10 for eviction risk. That is riskier than about 93% of US census tracts.

58% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 30% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,662 monthly, set against $85,008 in average yearly household income, roughly 23% of income at the averages. Renters make up 73% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
7.5
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 42% Stable renters 30% Owners 28%
Tract context
Occupied units1,827
Renter share72.6%
SVI overall0.92
Poverty rate19.1%
Median income$85,008

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#10 of 16 tracts In The Shades
Moderate
Within parent city
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#12 of 18 tracts In Union City
Low
Within county
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#52 of 183 tracts In Hudson County
Elevated
Within state
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#290 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Union City and the region

Centroid at 40.7648, -74.0393 · click any tract to drill in

Why The Shades scores 7.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Union City
7.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
19.1% poverty · this tract
4.8
Supply constraint
$1,662 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Union City
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Union City
5.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Union City
5.1

How The Shades compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
The Shades risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 7.57.5This tracttract 017100Union City: 7.67.6Union Cityparent cityCounty: 6.76.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.34.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 92

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 395Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 7.84%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.5%Peak (2014)
  • 74Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2014 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 340170171002014: 129 filings (9.51/100 renter HHs)2016: 101 filings (8.29/100 renter HHs)2017: 91 filings (7.47/100 renter HHs)2018: 74 filings (6.07/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 43% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within The Shades. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in The Shades

The score leans hardest on eviction process difficulty at 6.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Union City eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Hudson County average of 7.0 and above the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 92nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

Part of this tract, about 6% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was C ("Declining"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 34017017100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34017017100?

Census tract 34017017100 in the The Shades neighborhood scores 7.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34017017100?

Median gross rent is $1,662/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34017017100?

19.1% of residents in tract 34017017100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,075.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34017017100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 92th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 68th, minority 87th, housing 80th.
Q5

Is tract 34017017100 considered part of The Shades?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34017017100 fall within The Shades (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34017017100?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 395 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34017017100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.84% of renter households, peaking at 9.5% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 34017017100 struggle to pay rent?

About 21.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 34017017100 compare to Union City overall?

Tract 34017017100 scores 7.5/10, right in line with the parent city of Union City at 7.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Union City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 34017017100 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 6% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Union City

Top eight tracts in Union City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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