Within neighborhood
33
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #10,727 of 84,120 nationally
The Shades Eviction Risk: Elevated , Union City
Tract 34017017100 · Hudson County, NJ · pop 5,075 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
34017017100 is a census tract in the The Shades area of Union City, NJ. It scores 7.4/10 for landlords. The severe-burden share is 30%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
7.4
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 42%
Stable renters 30%
Owners 28%
Tract context
Occupied units1,827
Renter share72.6%
SVI overall0.92
Poverty rate19.1%
Median income$85,008
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
35
th percentile
Low
Within county
45
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
75
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Union City and the region
Centroid at 40.7648, -74.0393 · click any tract to drill in
Why The Shades scores 7.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Union City
7.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
19.1% poverty · this tract
4.8
Supply constraint
$1,662 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Union City
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Union City
5.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Union City
5.1
How The Shades compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 92
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 96%Socioeconomic
- 68%Household composition
- 87%Racial/ethnic minority
- 80%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 83%Grade C
- 6%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 395Total filings over 4 yrs
- 7.84%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.5%Peak (2014)
- 74Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 43% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within The Shades. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 21.5%Housing insecurity
- 10.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 26.4%Food insecurity
- 14.0%SNAP enrollment
- 11.9%Transit barriers
- 25.9%No health insurance
- 15.4%Frequent mental distress
- 30.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in The Shades
Cost burden runs 58% here against 46.5% across Hudson County. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 8.3/10.
73% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.2/10.
Running hot, local political climate reads 7.6/10. The poverty rate is 19%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Food insecurity runs 26.4% against 17.8% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 395 evictions over 4 years of observation. Housing insecurity runs 21.5% against 14.2% nationally.
Filings peaked in 2014 at 9.5% of renter households. Average gross rent is $1,662, 8% above the Union City average.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 7.8% of renter households face a filing.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 34017017100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34017017100?
Census tract 34017017100 in the The Shades neighborhood scores 7.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34017017100?
Median gross rent is $1,662/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34017017100?
19.1% of residents in tract 34017017100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,075.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34017017100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 92th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 68th, minority 87th, housing 80th.
Q5
Is tract 34017017100 considered part of The Shades?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34017017100 fall within The Shades (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34017017100?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 395 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34017017100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.84% of renter households, peaking at 9.5% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 34017017100 struggle to pay rent?
About 21.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 34017017100 compare to Union City overall?
Tract 34017017100 scores 7.4/10, higher than the parent city of Union City at 6.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Union City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 34017017100 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 6% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Union City
Top eight tracts in Union City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NJ
The Shades
8.2
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
The Shades
8.2
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
The Shades
8.2
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
Lincoln Harbor
8.2
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
The Shades
8.2
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
The Shades
8.2
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
The Shades
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
Lincoln Harbor
7.9
/ 10 · High
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