Elizabeth Eviction Risk: High

The dominant input is court filing pressure at 8.9/10. 83% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Adults with no health insurance runs 29.8% against 11.3% nationally. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.7/10.

Against the Union County average of 6.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.7 points. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.9/10.

Housing insecurity runs 26.8% against 14.2% nationally. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Union Co. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

That is riskier than roughly 92% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.9/10.

Statewide the NJ average is 6.0, so this tract runs 2.3 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

43% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. Average gross rent is $1,426, close to the Elizabeth average.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.