Within parent city
23
th percentile
Low
Census Tract · Ranked #5,690 of 84,120 nationally
Elizabeth Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 34039031601 · Union County, NJ · pop 3,984
How risky is Elizabeth in Union County for landlords? Census tract 34039031601 scores 6.7/10, the Elevated tier. On the national scale it ranks #8,411 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
41% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 16% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,404 a month against an average household income of $63,378 a year, roughly 27% of income at the averages. About 89% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
6.8
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 37%
Stable renters 52%
Owners 11%
Tract context
Occupied units1,670
Renter share89.2%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate6.3%
Median income$63,378
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
77
th percentile
High
Within state
81
th percentile
High
National
93
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Elizabeth and the region
Centroid at 40.6773, -74.2112 · click any tract to drill in
Why Elizabeth scores 6.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Elizabeth
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
6.3% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$1,404 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Elizabeth
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Elizabeth
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Elizabeth
7.0
How Elizabeth compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 79
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 83%Socioeconomic
- 20%Household composition
- 93%Racial/ethnic minority
- 84%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 44%Grade B
- 33%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,220Total filings over 4 yrs
- 20.48%Avg annual filing rate
- 27.6%Peak (2013)
- 280Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 26% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 22.7%Housing insecurity
- 12.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 25.1%Food insecurity
- 14.7%SNAP enrollment
- 11.9%Transit barriers
- 21.1%No health insurance
- 16.6%Frequent mental distress
- 27.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Elizabeth
The score leans hardest on eviction process difficulty at 7.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Elizabeth eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Union County average of 6.6 and in line with the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
Princeton eviction risk's Eviction Lab logged 1,220 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 20.5% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 27.6% of renter households in 2013.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 34039031601
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34039031601?
Census tract 34039031601 in Elizabeth scores 6.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34039031601?
Median gross rent is $1,404/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34039031601?
6.3% of residents in tract 34039031601 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,984.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34039031601?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 83th, household 20th, minority 93th, housing 84th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34039031601?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 1,220 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34039031601 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 20.48% of renter households, peaking at 27.6% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 34039031601 struggle to pay rent?
About 22.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 34039031601 compare to Elizabeth overall?
Tract 34039031601 scores 6.8/10, lower than the parent city of Elizabeth at 8.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Elizabeth eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 34039031601 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Elizabeth
Top eight tracts in Elizabeth ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NJ
34039031904
8.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
34039031802
8.7
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
34039031400
8.6
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
Port Ivory
8.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
34039031100
8.4
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
Port Ivory
8.3
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
34039031700
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
Port Ivory
7.9
/ 10 · High
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