Within parent city
23
th percentile
Low
Census Tract · Ranked #6,330 of 84,120 nationally
Elizabeth Eviction Risk: High
Tract 34039031601 · Union County, NJ · pop 3,984
Census tract 34039031601 covers part of Elizabeth, NJ, and scores 8.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,984. This is renter territory: 89% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
Risk score
8.3
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 37%
Stable renters 52%
Owners 11%
Tract context
Occupied units1,670
Renter share89.2%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate6.3%
Median income$63,378
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
74
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
85
th percentile
High
National
93
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Elizabeth and the region
Centroid at 40.6773, -74.2112 · click any tract to drill in
Why Elizabeth scores 8.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Elizabeth
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
6.3% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$1,404 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Elizabeth
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Elizabeth
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Elizabeth
7.0
How Elizabeth compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 79
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 83%Socioeconomic
- 20%Household composition
- 93%Racial/ethnic minority
- 84%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 44%Grade B
- 33%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,220Total filings over 4 yrs
- 20.48%Avg annual filing rate
- 27.6%Peak (2013)
- 280Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 26% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 22.7%Housing insecurity
- 12.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 25.1%Food insecurity
- 14.7%SNAP enrollment
- 11.9%Transit barriers
- 21.1%No health insurance
- 16.6%Frequent mental distress
- 27.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Elizabeth
What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 8.9/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.6/10.
Against the Union County average of 6.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.7 points. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.6/10.
16% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Housing insecurity runs 22.7% against 14.2% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 1,220 evictions over 4 years of observation.
Food insecurity runs 25.1% against 17.8% nationally. The worst year on record was 2013, when 27.6% of renter households were served.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 20.5% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #6,330 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 34039031601
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34039031601?
Census tract 34039031601 in Elizabeth scores 8.3/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34039031601?
Median gross rent is $1,404/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34039031601?
6.3% of residents in tract 34039031601 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,984.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34039031601?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 83th, household 20th, minority 93th, housing 84th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34039031601?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 1,220 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34039031601 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 20.48% of renter households, peaking at 27.6% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 34039031601 struggle to pay rent?
About 22.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 34039031601 compare to Elizabeth overall?
Tract 34039031601 scores 8.3/10, higher than the parent city of Elizabeth at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Elizabeth eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 34039031601 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Elizabeth
Top eight tracts in Elizabeth ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NJ
Port Ivory
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
Gulfport
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
34039031802
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
34039030701
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
34039031903
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
34039031904
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
34039030704
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
Port Ivory
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
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