Skip to content
Census Tract · Ranked #1,292 of 84,120 nationally

Elizabeth Eviction Risk: High

Tract 34039031100 · Union County, NJ · pop 6,152

Tract 34039031100, home to 6,152 residents in Elizabeth, scores 7.4/10 for landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 98% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

52% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 29% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,353 a month while the average household earns $50,000 a year, roughly 32% of income at the averages. About 80% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
8.4
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 42% Stable renters 38% Owners 20%
Tract context
Occupied units1,988
Renter share79.6%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate23.9%
Median income$50,000

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 31 tracts In Elizabeth
High
Within county
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 120 tracts In Union County
Very High
Within state
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#145 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Very High
National
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#1,292 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Elizabeth and the region

Centroid at 40.6591, -74.2062 · click any tract to drill in

Why Elizabeth scores 8.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Elizabeth
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
23.9% poverty · this tract
6.0
Supply constraint
$1,353 rent vs county FMR
1.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Elizabeth
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Elizabeth
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Elizabeth
7.0

How Elizabeth compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Elizabeth risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 8.48.4This tracttract 031100Elizabeth: 8.28.2Elizabethparent cityCounty: 4.74.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.34.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 98

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 620Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 10.11%Avg annual filing rate
  • 13.2%Peak (2013)
  • 145Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2013 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 340390311002013: 181 filings (13.17/100 renter HHs)2016: 149 filings (9.26/100 renter HHs)2017: 145 filings (9.01/100 renter HHs)2018: 145 filings (9.01/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 20% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Elizabeth

The heaviest input here is eviction process difficulty at 7.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Elizabeth eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Union County average of 6.6 and above the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 48% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 98th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 34039031100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34039031100?

Census tract 34039031100 in Elizabeth scores 8.4/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34039031100?

Median gross rent is $1,353/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34039031100?

23.9% of residents in tract 34039031100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,152.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34039031100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 96th, minority 94th, housing 84th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34039031100?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 620 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34039031100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.11% of renter households, peaking at 13.2% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 34039031100 struggle to pay rent?

About 28.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 34039031100 compare to Elizabeth overall?

Tract 34039031100 scores 8.4/10, right in line with the parent city of Elizabeth at 8.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Elizabeth eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 34039031100 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 48% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Elizabeth

Top eight tracts in Elizabeth ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related