Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #1,107 of 84,120 nationally
Port Ivory Eviction Risk: High , Elizabeth
Tract 34039030500 · Union County, NJ · pop 6,149 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Census tract 34039030500 sits in Port Ivory in Elizabeth eviction risk, New Jersey eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of 7.5/10. It lands near the 98th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 62% of renter households, a severe level, and 46% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,436 monthly, set against $49,474 in average yearly household income, roughly 35% of income at the averages. Renters make up 68% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
8.5
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 42%
Stable renters 26%
Owners 32%
Tract context
Occupied units1,952
Renter share68.3%
SVI overall0.95
Poverty rate24.0%
Median income$49,474
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
90
th percentile
Very High
Within county
98
th percentile
Very High
Within state
94
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Elizabeth and the region
Centroid at 40.6474, -74.1951 · click any tract to drill in
Why Port Ivory scores 8.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Elizabeth
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
24.0% poverty · this tract
6.0
Supply constraint
$1,436 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Elizabeth
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Elizabeth
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Elizabeth
7.0
How Port Ivory compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 95
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 96%Socioeconomic
- 91%Household composition
- 93%Racial/ethnic minority
- 72%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 9%Grade C
- 41%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 376Total filings over 4 yrs
- 9.93%Avg annual filing rate
- 11.9%Peak (2013)
- 78Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 32% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Port Ivory. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 31.8%Housing insecurity
- 16.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 39.4%Food insecurity
- 24.7%SNAP enrollment
- 17.6%Transit barriers
- 37.4%No health insurance
- 19.2%Frequent mental distress
- 35.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Port Ivory
The score leans hardest on eviction process difficulty at 7.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Elizabeth eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Union County average of 6.6 and above the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton eviction risk's Eviction Lab logged 376 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 9.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 11.9% of renter households in 2013.
In CDC survey modeling, about 31.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 16.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 34039030500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34039030500?
Census tract 34039030500 in the Port Ivory neighborhood scores 8.5/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34039030500?
Median gross rent is $1,436/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34039030500?
24.0% of residents in tract 34039030500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,149.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34039030500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 91th, minority 93th, housing 72th.
Q5
Is tract 34039030500 considered part of Port Ivory?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34039030500 fall within Port Ivory (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34039030500?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 376 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34039030500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.93% of renter households, peaking at 11.9% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 34039030500 struggle to pay rent?
About 31.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 34039030500 compare to Elizabeth overall?
Tract 34039030500 scores 8.5/10, higher than the parent city of Elizabeth at 8.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Elizabeth eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 34039030500 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 41% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Elizabeth
Top eight tracts in Elizabeth ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NJ
34039031904
8.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
34039031802
8.7
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
34039031400
8.6
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
34039031100
8.4
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
Port Ivory
8.3
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
34039031700
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
Port Ivory
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
34039031301
7.8
/ 10 · High
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