Within neighborhood
60
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #3,797 of 84,120 nationally
Port Ivory Eviction Risk: High , Elizabeth
Tract 34039030500 · Union County, NJ · pop 6,149 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Census tract 34039030500 covers part of the Port Ivory area of Elizabeth, NJ, and scores 9.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 6,149. 46% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
9.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 42%
Stable renters 26%
Owners 32%
Tract context
Occupied units1,952
Renter share68.3%
SVI overall0.95
Poverty rate24.0%
Median income$49,474
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
70
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
89
th percentile
High
Within state
92
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Elizabeth and the region
Centroid at 40.6474, -74.1951 · click any tract to drill in
Why Port Ivory scores 9.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Elizabeth
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
24.0% poverty · this tract
6.0
Supply constraint
$1,436 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Elizabeth
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Elizabeth
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Elizabeth
7.0
How Port Ivory compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 95
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 96%Socioeconomic
- 91%Household composition
- 93%Racial/ethnic minority
- 72%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 9%Grade C
- 41%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 376Total filings over 4 yrs
- 9.93%Avg annual filing rate
- 11.9%Peak (2013)
- 78Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 32% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Port Ivory. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 31.8%Housing insecurity
- 16.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 39.4%Food insecurity
- 24.7%SNAP enrollment
- 17.6%Transit barriers
- 37.4%No health insurance
- 19.2%Frequent mental distress
- 35.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Port Ivory
Cost burden runs 62% here against 44.6% across Union County. Adults with no health insurance runs 37.4% against 11.3% nationally.
It sits 2.5 points above the Union County average of 6.6. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 8.9/10. Annualized rent equals 35% of average household income of $49,474, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.
68% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.7/10. The poverty rate is 24%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.5/10. SNAP participation runs 24.7% against 15.2% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 376 evictions over 4 years of observation.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 34039030500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34039030500?
Census tract 34039030500 in the Port Ivory neighborhood scores 9.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34039030500?
Median gross rent is $1,436/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34039030500?
24.0% of residents in tract 34039030500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,149.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34039030500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 91th, minority 93th, housing 72th.
Q5
Is tract 34039030500 considered part of Port Ivory?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34039030500 fall within Port Ivory (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34039030500?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 376 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34039030500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.93% of renter households, peaking at 11.9% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 34039030500 struggle to pay rent?
About 31.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 34039030500 compare to Elizabeth overall?
Tract 34039030500 scores 9.1/10, higher than the parent city of Elizabeth at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Elizabeth eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 34039030500 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 41% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Elizabeth
Top eight tracts in Elizabeth ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NJ
Port Ivory
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
Port Ivory
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
34039031700
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
Gulfport
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
34039030701
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
34039031802
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
34039031903
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
34039030704
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
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