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Neighborhood · Ranked #3,797 of 84,120 nationally

Port Ivory Eviction Risk: High , Elizabeth

Tract 34039030400 · Union County, NJ · pop 5,973 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

Tract 34039030400 sits in the Port Ivory area of Elizabeth eviction risk, NJ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 9.1/10. Population here is 5,973. It sits 2.5 points above the Union County average of 6.6.

Risk score
9.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 46% Stable renters 33% Owners 21%
Tract context
Occupied units2,001
Renter share79.3%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate23.1%
Median income$53,489

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 6 tracts In Port Ivory
High
Within parent city
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 31 tracts In Elizabeth
High
Within county
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#12 of 120 tracts In Union County
Very High
Within state
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#166 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Elizabeth and the region

Centroid at 40.6514, -74.1876 · click any tract to drill in

Why Port Ivory scores 9.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Elizabeth
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
23.1% poverty · this tract
5.8
Supply constraint
$1,339 rent vs county FMR
1.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Elizabeth
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Elizabeth
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Elizabeth
7.0

How Port Ivory compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Port Ivory risk score vs. parent city / county / state9.1This tracttract 0304007.7Elizabethparent city6.6Countyavg tract in county6.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 97

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,407Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 24.32%Avg annual filing rate
  • 32.0%Peak (2013)
  • 218Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2013 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 34039030400
Filings dropped 50% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Port Ivory. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Port Ivory

Against Union County at 44.6%, 59% of renters here are cost-burdened. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 8.9/10.

This is renter territory: 79% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Housing insecurity runs 32.3% against 14.2% nationally. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.3/10.

Severe burden reaches 23%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The poverty rate is 23%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

SNAP participation runs 26.8% against 15.2% nationally. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.5/10. The filing record is not thin: 1,407 evictions over 4 years of observation.

Average gross rent is $1,339, 12% below the Elizabeth average. Filings peaked in 2013 at 32.0% of renter households.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 34039030400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34039030400?

Census tract 34039030400 in the Port Ivory neighborhood scores 9.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34039030400?

Median gross rent is $1,339/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34039030400?

23.1% of residents in tract 34039030400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,973.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34039030400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 93th, minority 92th, housing 83th.
Q5

Is tract 34039030400 considered part of Port Ivory?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34039030400 fall within Port Ivory (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34039030400?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 1,407 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34039030400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 24.32% of renter households, peaking at 32.0% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 34039030400 struggle to pay rent?

About 32.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 34039030400 compare to Elizabeth overall?

Tract 34039030400 scores 9.1/10, higher than the parent city of Elizabeth at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Elizabeth eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 34039030400 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 78% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Elizabeth

Top eight tracts in Elizabeth ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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