Elizabeth Eviction Risk: High
Tract 34039031904 · Union County, NJ · pop 3,008
Census tract 34039031904 covers part of Elizabeth, NJ, and scores 9.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 33%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Elizabeth and the region
Centroid at 40.6649, -74.2219 · click any tract to drill in
Why Elizabeth scores 9.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Elizabeth compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 95
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 95%Socioeconomic
- 82%Household composition
- 92%Racial/ethnic minority
- 86%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 59%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 761Total filings over 4 yrs
- 16.06%Avg annual filing rate
- 20.5%Peak (2013)
- 159Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 28.7%Housing insecurity
- 17.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 36.8%Food insecurity
- 26.5%SNAP enrollment
- 16.9%Transit barriers
- 28.8%No health insurance
- 17.7%Frequent mental distress
- 37.0%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Elizabeth
Against the Union County average of 6.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.5 points. 90% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1/10.
Food insecurity runs 36.8% against 17.8% nationally. Set annual rent against average income of $36,995 and the ratio lands at 38%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. 57% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Union County average of 44.6%.
Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. The poverty rate is 29%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
Housing insecurity runs 28.7% against 14.2% nationally. At $1,176 a month, rents run 23% under what the rest of Elizabeth commands. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.5/10.
Princeton eviction risk's Eviction Lab logged 761 filings here across 4 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2013, when 20.5% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 16.1% of renter households face a filing.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
About tract 34039031904
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34039031904?
What is the average rent in tract 34039031904?
What is the poverty rate in tract 34039031904?
How socially vulnerable is tract 34039031904?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34039031904?
What share of households in tract 34039031904 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 34039031904 compare to Elizabeth overall?
Was tract 34039031904 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Elizabeth
Top eight tracts in Elizabeth ranked by composite eviction-risk score.