Elizabeth Eviction Risk: High
Tract 34039031904 · Union County, NJ · pop 3,008
For landlords sizing up Elizabeth, census tract 34039031904 carries an elevated eviction-risk score of 7.6/10. That is riskier than about 99% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 57% of renter households, a severe level, and 33% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,176 monthly, set against $36,995 in average yearly household income, roughly 38% of income at the averages. Renters make up 90% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Elizabeth and the region
Centroid at 40.6649, -74.2219 · click any tract to drill in
Why Elizabeth scores 8.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Elizabeth compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 95
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 95%Socioeconomic
- 82%Household composition
- 92%Racial/ethnic minority
- 86%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 59%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 761Total filings over 4 yrs
- 16.06%Avg annual filing rate
- 20.5%Peak (2013)
- 159Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 28.7%Housing insecurity
- 17.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 36.8%Food insecurity
- 26.5%SNAP enrollment
- 16.9%Transit barriers
- 28.8%No health insurance
- 17.7%Frequent mental distress
- 37.0%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Elizabeth
The heaviest input here is eviction process difficulty at 7.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Elizabeth eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Union County average of 6.6 and above the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 95th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
About tract 34039031904
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34039031904?
What is the average rent in tract 34039031904?
What is the poverty rate in tract 34039031904?
How socially vulnerable is tract 34039031904?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34039031904?
What share of households in tract 34039031904 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 34039031904 compare to Elizabeth overall?
Was tract 34039031904 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Elizabeth
Top eight tracts in Elizabeth ranked by composite eviction-risk score.