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Census Tract · Ranked #3,797 of 84,120 nationally

Elizabeth Eviction Risk: High

Tract 34039031100 · Union County, NJ · pop 6,152

With a score of 9.1/10, tract 34039031100 in Elizabeth, NJ reads high for landlord eviction risk. It sits 2.5 points above the Union County average of 6.6.

Risk score
9.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 42% Stable renters 38% Owners 20%
Tract context
Occupied units1,988
Renter share79.6%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate23.9%
Median income$50,000

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
57 th percentile
Rank, 57th percentileLowHigh
#14 of 31 tracts In Elizabeth
Elevated
Within county
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#10 of 120 tracts In Union County
Very High
Within state
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#166 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Very High
National
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#3,797 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Elizabeth and the region

Centroid at 40.6591, -74.2062 · click any tract to drill in

Why Elizabeth scores 9.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Elizabeth
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
23.9% poverty · this tract
6.0
Supply constraint
$1,353 rent vs county FMR
1.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Elizabeth
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Elizabeth
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Elizabeth
7.0

How Elizabeth compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Elizabeth risk score vs. parent city / county / state9.1This tracttract 0311007.7Elizabethparent city6.6Countyavg tract in county6.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 98

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 620Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 10.11%Avg annual filing rate
  • 13.2%Peak (2013)
  • 145Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2013 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 34039031100
Filings dropped 20% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Elizabeth

29% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 8.9/10.

This is renter territory: 80% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.3/10.

Annualized rent equals 32% of average household income of $50,000, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Housing insecurity runs 28.6% against 14.2% nationally. Cost burden runs roughly one in two here against 44.6% across Union County.

The poverty rate is 24%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.5/10.

Princeton eviction risk's Eviction Lab logged 620 filings here across 4 tracked years. At $1,353 a month, rents run 11% under what the rest of Elizabeth commands.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 14.8% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The worst year on record was 2013, when 13.2% of renter households were served.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 34039031100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34039031100?

Census tract 34039031100 in Elizabeth scores 9.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34039031100?

Median gross rent is $1,353/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34039031100?

23.9% of residents in tract 34039031100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,152.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34039031100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 96th, minority 94th, housing 84th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34039031100?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 620 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34039031100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.11% of renter households, peaking at 13.2% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 34039031100 struggle to pay rent?

About 28.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 34039031100 compare to Elizabeth overall?

Tract 34039031100 scores 9.1/10, higher than the parent city of Elizabeth at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Elizabeth eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 34039031100 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 48% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Elizabeth

Top eight tracts in Elizabeth ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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