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Census Tract · Ranked #15,451 of 84,120 nationally

Buffalo Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 36029000700 · Erie County, NY · pop 3,730

36029000700 is a census tract in Buffalo, NY. It scores 6.5/10 for landlords. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10.

Risk score
6.5
Elevated
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 13% Owners 78%
Tract context
Occupied units1,606
Renter share21.8%
SVI overall0.08
Poverty rate2.4%
Median income$90,852

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#91 of 91 tracts In Buffalo
Very Low
Within county
52 th percentile
Rank, 52nd percentileLowHigh
#125 of 260 tracts In Erie County
Moderate
Within state
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#3,620 of 5,394 tracts In New York
Low
National
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#15,451 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Buffalo and the region

Centroid at 42.8371, -78.8072 · click any tract to drill in

Why Buffalo scores 6.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Buffalo
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
2.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,080 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Buffalo
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Buffalo
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Buffalo
7.5

How Buffalo compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Buffalo risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.5This tracttract 0007007.9Buffaloparent city6.8Countyavg tract in county7.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 8

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Buffalo

Severe burden reaches 23%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Running hot, local political climate reads 8/10.

On the high side, eviction-process difficulty reads 8/10. Food insecurity runs 8.4% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 7.0% against 15.2% nationally.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. Nationally it ranks #15,451 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

At 22% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Against average income of $90,852, annual rent is just 14%. Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 1.2 points cooler.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Rent takes 30% or more of income for 41% of renters. It tracks the Erie County average of 6.8 closely.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 36029000700

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36029000700?

Census tract 36029000700 in Buffalo scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 36029000700?

Median gross rent is $1,080/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 36029000700?

2.4% of residents in tract 36029000700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,730.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 36029000700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 8th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 3th, household 22th, minority 10th, housing 31th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 36029000700 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 36029000700 compare to Buffalo overall?

Tract 36029000700 scores 6.5/10, lower than the parent city of Buffalo at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Buffalo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7

Was tract 36029000700 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Buffalo

Top eight tracts in Buffalo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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