Neighborhood · Ranked #15,451 of 84,120 nationally

Elmwood Village Eviction Risk: Elevated , Buffalo

Tract 36029980000 · Erie County, NY · pop 1,824 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

36029980000 is a census tract in the Elmwood Village area of Buffalo, NY. It scores 6.5/10 for landlords. What pushes it up most is local political climate at 8/10.

Risk score

6.5

Elevated

Confidence 30% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 0% Stable renters 0% Owners 100%

Tract context

SVI overall-10.00

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Buffalo and the region

Centroid at 42.9343, -78.8836 · click any tract to drill in

Why Elmwood Village scores 6.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Buffalo

8.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.7

State political climate

New York legislature & governorship

7.3

Economic stress

this tract poverty rate

3.0

Supply constraint

tract rent vs county FMR

5.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Buffalo

7.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

8.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Buffalo

7.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Buffalo

7.5

How Elmwood Village compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: -1,000

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

-1,000%Socioeconomic
-1,000%Household composition
77%Racial/ethnic minority
-1,000%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
21%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Elmwood Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

23.2%Housing insecurity
13.6%Utility-shutoff threat
29.7%Food insecurity
23.6%SNAP enrollment
20.1%Transit barriers
8.3%No health insurance
27.1%Frequent mental distress
27.2%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Elmwood Village

Running hot, eviction-process difficulty reads 8/10. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.5/10.

Housing insecurity runs 23.2% against 14.2% nationally. SNAP participation runs 23.6% against 15.2% nationally.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. That is riskier than roughly 82% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 1.2 points cooler.

Model confidence here is 30%, lower than typical because some ACS inputs for this tract carry wide margins of error, so read the score as a band, not a point. It tracks the Erie County average of 6.8 closely.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 36029980000

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36029980000?

Census tract 36029980000 in the Elmwood Village neighborhood scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

How socially vulnerable is tract 36029980000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the -1000th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic -1000th, household -1000th, minority 77th, housing -1000th.

Is tract 36029980000 considered part of Elmwood Village?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36029980000 fall within Elmwood Village (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 36029980000 struggle to pay rent?

About 23.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 36029980000 compare to Buffalo overall?

Tract 36029980000 scores 6.5/10, lower than the parent city of Buffalo at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Buffalo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 36029980000 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Buffalo

Top eight tracts in Buffalo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.