Fruit Belt Eviction Risk: High , Buffalo

Cost burden runs 82% here against 44.6% across Erie County. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10. SNAP participation runs 48.8% against 15.2% nationally.

The poverty rate is 53%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. It sits 2.5 points above the Erie County average of 6.8.

Housing insecurity runs 31.8% against 14.2% nationally. Running hot, local political climate reads 8/10. On the high side, eviction-process difficulty reads 8/10.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Buffalo. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. On the national scale it lands near the 96th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 1.6 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

Average gross rent is $1,059, close to the Buffalo average.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.