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Neighborhood · Ranked #3,082 of 84,120 nationally

East Side Eviction Risk: High , Buffalo

Tract 36029002900 · Erie County, NY · pop 2,314 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Tract 36029002900 sits in the East Side area of Buffalo eviction risk, NY, carrying an eviction-risk score of 9.3/10. Severe burden reaches 36%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
9.3
High
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31% Stable renters 30% Owners 39%
Tract context
Occupied units1,049
Renter share60.7%
SVI overall0.89
Poverty rate50.5%
Median income$42,386

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
71 th percentile
Rank, 71st percentileLowHigh
#3 of 8 tracts In East Side
Elevated
Within parent city
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#23 of 91 tracts In Buffalo
High
Within county
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#56 of 260 tracts In Erie County
High
Within state
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#1,493 of 5,394 tracts In New York
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Buffalo and the region

Centroid at 42.9066, -78.8199 · click any tract to drill in

Why East Side scores 9.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Buffalo
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
50.5% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,109 rent vs county FMR
4.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Buffalo
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Buffalo
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Buffalo
7.5

How East Side compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
East Side risk score vs. parent city / county / state9.3This tracttract 0029007.9Buffaloparent city6.8Countyavg tract in county7.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 89

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within East Side. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in East Side

What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10. The poverty rate is 51%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Against the Erie County average of 6.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.5 points. Housing insecurity runs 33.8% against 14.2% nationally. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 26.3% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

On the high side, local political climate reads 8/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 8/10. Against Erie County at 44.6%, 51% of renters here are cost-burdened.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. Nationally it ranks #3,082 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 36029002900

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36029002900?

Census tract 36029002900 in the East Side neighborhood scores 9.3/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 36029002900?

Median gross rent is $1,109/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 36029002900?

50.5% of residents in tract 36029002900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,314.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 36029002900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 97th, minority 93th, housing 53th.
Q5

Is tract 36029002900 considered part of East Side?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36029002900 fall within East Side (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 36029002900 struggle to pay rent?

About 33.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 26.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 36029002900 compare to Buffalo overall?

Tract 36029002900 scores 9.3/10, higher than the parent city of Buffalo at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Buffalo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 36029002900 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Buffalo

Top eight tracts in Buffalo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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