East Side Eviction Risk: High , Buffalo

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10. SNAP participation runs 55.6% against 15.2% nationally. The poverty rate is 45%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Against the Erie County average of 6.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.5 points. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 28.4% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Set annual rent against average income of $34,329 and the ratio lands at 34%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

Running hot, local political climate reads 8/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 8/10.

Cost burden runs 51% here against 44.6% across Erie County. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. Nationally it ranks #3,082 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.4/10. Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 1.6 points hotter.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.