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Neighborhood · Ranked #3,082 of 84,120 nationally

Kensington Eviction Risk: High , Buffalo

Tract 36029004300 · Erie County, NY · pop 6,969 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

With a score of 9.3/10, tract 36029004300 in the Kensington area of Buffalo, NY reads high for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 6,969 residents. Severe burden reaches 31%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
9.3
High
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30% Stable renters 27% Owners 43%
Tract context
Occupied units2,676
Renter share56.4%
SVI overall0.52
Poverty rate31.6%
Median income$46,908

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 11 tracts In Kensington
Elevated
Within parent city
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileLowHigh
#30 of 91 tracts In Buffalo
Elevated
Within county
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#12 of 260 tracts In Erie County
Very High
Within state
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#1,493 of 5,394 tracts In New York
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Buffalo and the region

Centroid at 42.9448, -78.8072 · click any tract to drill in

Why Kensington scores 9.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Buffalo
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
31.6% poverty · this tract
7.9
Supply constraint
$1,140 rent vs county FMR
4.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Buffalo
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Buffalo
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Buffalo
7.5

How Kensington compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Kensington risk score vs. parent city / county / state9.3This tracttract 0043007.9Buffaloparent city6.8Countyavg tract in county7.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 52

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Kensington. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Kensington

Against the Erie County average of 6.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.5 points. SNAP participation runs 36.8% against 15.2% nationally.

The poverty rate is 32%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. What pushes it up most is local political climate at 8/10.

Running hot, eviction-process difficulty reads 8/10. Against Erie County at 44.6%, roughly one in two of renters here are cost-burdened.

On the high side, economic stress reads 7.9/10. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 21.2% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

At $1,140 a month, rents run 9% over what the rest of Buffalo commands. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. On the national scale it lands near the 96th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 36029004300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36029004300?

Census tract 36029004300 in the Kensington neighborhood scores 9.3/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 36029004300?

Median gross rent is $1,140/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 36029004300?

31.6% of residents in tract 36029004300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,969.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 36029004300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 52th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 57th, household 63th, minority 82th, housing 22th.
Q5

Is tract 36029004300 considered part of Kensington?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36029004300 fall within Kensington (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 36029004300 struggle to pay rent?

About 28.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 21.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 36029004300 compare to Buffalo overall?

Tract 36029004300 scores 9.3/10, higher than the parent city of Buffalo at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Buffalo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 36029004300 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Buffalo

Top eight tracts in Buffalo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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