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Neighborhood · Ranked #3,082 of 84,120 nationally

Kensington Eviction Risk: High , Buffalo

Tract 36029004401 · Erie County, NY · pop 4,631 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Tract 36029004401 sits in the Kensington area of Buffalo eviction risk, NY, carrying an eviction-risk score of 9.3/10. Population here is 4,631. It sits 2.5 points above the Erie County average of 6.8.

Risk score
9.3
High
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22% Stable renters 27% Owners 51%
Tract context
Occupied units2,064
Renter share48.7%
SVI overall0.67
Poverty rate20.8%
Median income$49,571

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 11 tracts In Kensington
Elevated
Within parent city
38 th percentile
Rank, 38th percentileLowHigh
#57 of 91 tracts In Buffalo
Low
Within county
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#11 of 260 tracts In Erie County
Very High
Within state
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#1,493 of 5,394 tracts In New York
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Buffalo and the region

Centroid at 42.9372, -78.8051 · click any tract to drill in

Why Kensington scores 9.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Buffalo
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
20.8% poverty · this tract
5.2
Supply constraint
$954 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Buffalo
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Buffalo
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Buffalo
7.5

How Kensington compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Kensington risk score vs. parent city / county / state9.3This tracttract 0044017.9Buffaloparent city6.8Countyavg tract in county7.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 67

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Kensington. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Kensington

Severe burden reaches 25%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. SNAP participation runs 33.9% against 15.2% nationally.

The score leans hardest on local political climate at 8/10. On the high side, eviction-process difficulty reads 8/10. Housing insecurity runs 28.0% against 14.2% nationally.

The poverty rate is 21%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.5/10.

At $954 a month, rents run 9% under what the rest of Buffalo commands. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Buffalo. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

That is riskier than roughly 96% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 36029004401

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36029004401?

Census tract 36029004401 in the Kensington neighborhood scores 9.3/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 36029004401?

Median gross rent is $954/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 36029004401?

20.8% of residents in tract 36029004401 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,631.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 36029004401?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 67th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 56th, household 96th, minority 92th, housing 23th.
Q5

Is tract 36029004401 considered part of Kensington?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36029004401 fall within Kensington (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 36029004401 struggle to pay rent?

About 28.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 19.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 36029004401 compare to Buffalo overall?

Tract 36029004401 scores 9.3/10, higher than the parent city of Buffalo at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Buffalo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 36029004401 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Buffalo

Top eight tracts in Buffalo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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