Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #4,888 of 84,120 nationally

North Park Eviction Risk: High , Buffalo

Tract 36029004901 · Erie County, NY · pop 1,508 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

36029004901 is a census tract in the North Park area of Buffalo, NY. It scores 8.7/10 for landlords. 46% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
8.7
High
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31% Stable renters 25% Owners 44%
Tract context
Occupied units920
Renter share56.4%
SVI overall0.49
Poverty rate17.4%
Median income$59,745

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
71 th percentile
Rank, 71st percentileLowHigh
#3 of 8 tracts In North Park
Elevated
Within parent city
24 th percentile
Rank, 24th percentileLowHigh
#69 of 91 tracts In Buffalo
Low
Within county
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#69 of 260 tracts In Erie County
Elevated
Within state
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#2,084 of 5,394 tracts In New York
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Buffalo and the region

Centroid at 42.9458, -78.8601 · click any tract to drill in

Why North Park scores 8.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Buffalo
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
17.4% poverty · this tract
4.4
Supply constraint
$1,500 rent vs county FMR
7.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Buffalo
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Buffalo
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Buffalo
7.5

How North Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
North Park risk score vs. parent city / county / state8.7This tracttract 0049017.9Buffaloparent city6.8Countyavg tract in county7.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 49

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within North Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in North Park

At $1,500 a month, rents run 43% over what the rest of Buffalo commands. It sits 1.9 points above the Erie County average of 6.8. Against Erie County at 44.6%, 55% of renters here are cost-burdened.

The voucher gap is 27.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. The score leans hardest on local political climate at 8/10. Running hot, eviction-process difficulty reads 8/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, supply constraint reads 7.8/10. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. Nationally it ranks #4,888 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Social vulnerability reads 5.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter. Annual rent works out to 30% of average household income of $59,745.

56% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 36029004901

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36029004901?

Census tract 36029004901 in the North Park neighborhood scores 8.7/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 36029004901?

Median gross rent is $1,500/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 36029004901?

17.4% of residents in tract 36029004901 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,508.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 36029004901?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 49th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 52th, household 71th, minority 40th, housing 29th.
Q5

Is tract 36029004901 considered part of North Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36029004901 fall within North Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 36029004901 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 36029004901 compare to Buffalo overall?

Tract 36029004901 scores 8.7/10, higher than the parent city of Buffalo at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Buffalo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 36029004901 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Buffalo

Top eight tracts in Buffalo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related