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Neighborhood · Ranked #5,413 of 84,120 nationally

Five Points Eviction Risk: High , Buffalo

Tract 36029006601 · Erie County, NY · pop 2,369 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

With a score of 8.5/10, tract 36029006601 in the Five Points area of Buffalo, NY reads high for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,369. The dominant input is local political climate at 8/10.

Risk score
8.5
High
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 34% Stable renters 32% Owners 34%
Tract context
Occupied units1,141
Renter share66.5%
SVI overall0.29
Poverty rate15.6%
Median income$60,990

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 5 tracts In Five Points
Moderate
Within parent city
19 th percentile
Rank, 19th percentileLowHigh
#74 of 91 tracts In Buffalo
Very Low
Within county
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#72 of 260 tracts In Erie County
Elevated
Within state
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#2,229 of 5,394 tracts In New York
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Buffalo and the region

Centroid at 42.9135, -78.8823 · click any tract to drill in

Why Five Points scores 8.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Buffalo
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
15.6% poverty · this tract
3.9
Supply constraint
$993 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Buffalo
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Buffalo
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Buffalo
7.5

How Five Points compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Five Points risk score vs. parent city / county / state8.5This tracttract 0066017.9Buffaloparent city6.8Countyavg tract in county7.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 29

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Five Points. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Five Points

It sits 1.7 points above the Erie County average of 6.8. 67% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

On the high side, eviction-process difficulty reads 8/10. 51% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Erie County average of 44.6%.

Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.5/10. The severe-burden share is 11%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. On the national scale it lands near the 94th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 3.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Average gross rent is $993, close to the Buffalo average. Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $60,990.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 36029006601

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36029006601?

Census tract 36029006601 in the Five Points neighborhood scores 8.5/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 36029006601?

Median gross rent is $993/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 36029006601?

15.6% of residents in tract 36029006601 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,369.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 36029006601?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 29th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 41th, household 15th, minority 55th, housing 29th.
Q5

Is tract 36029006601 considered part of Five Points?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36029006601 fall within Five Points (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 36029006601 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 36029006601 compare to Buffalo overall?

Tract 36029006601 scores 8.5/10, higher than the parent city of Buffalo at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Buffalo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 36029006601 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Buffalo

Top eight tracts in Buffalo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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