Neighborhood · Ranked #5,413 of 84,120 nationally

Five Points Eviction Risk: High , Buffalo

Tract 36029006701 · Erie County, NY · pop 3,639 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

36029006701 is a census tract in the Five Points area of Buffalo, NY. It scores 8.5/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,639. 29% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score

8.5

High

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 34% Stable renters 35% Owners 31%

Tract context

Occupied units1,996

Renter share69.4%

SVI overall0.25

Poverty rate14.2%

Median income$60,652

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Buffalo and the region

Centroid at 42.9075, -78.8808 · click any tract to drill in

Why Five Points scores 8.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Buffalo

8.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.7

State political climate

New York legislature & governorship

7.3

Economic stress

14.2% poverty · this tract

3.5

Supply constraint

$983 rent vs county FMR

3.4

Rent control risk

Inherited from Buffalo

7.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

8.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Buffalo

7.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Buffalo

7.5

How Five Points compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 25

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

41%Socioeconomic
4%Household composition
36%Racial/ethnic minority
47%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
67%Grade B
33%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Five Points. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

11.4%Housing insecurity
7.3%Utility-shutoff threat
11.4%Food insecurity
9.8%SNAP enrollment
7.2%Transit barriers
5.3%No health insurance
16.0%Frequent mental distress
19.5%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Five Points

This is renter territory: 69% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. The dominant input is local political climate at 8/10.

It sits 1.7 points above the Erie County average of 6.8. Sitting well above the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 8/10.

Disability prevalence runs 19.5% against 31.5% nationally. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.5/10.

Against Erie County at 44.6%, 49% of renters here are cost-burdened. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Buffalo. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 94% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 3.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 36029006701

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36029006701?

Census tract 36029006701 in the Five Points neighborhood scores 8.5/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 36029006701?

Median gross rent is $983/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 36029006701?

14.2% of residents in tract 36029006701 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,639.

How socially vulnerable is tract 36029006701?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 25th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 41th, household 4th, minority 36th, housing 47th.

Is tract 36029006701 considered part of Five Points?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36029006701 fall within Five Points (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 36029006701 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 36029006701 compare to Buffalo overall?

Tract 36029006701 scores 8.5/10, higher than the parent city of Buffalo at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Buffalo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 36029006701 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Buffalo

Top eight tracts in Buffalo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.