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Neighborhood · Ranked #10,320 of 84,120 nationally

Five Points Eviction Risk: Elevated , Buffalo

Tract 36029006903 · Erie County, NY · pop 1,771 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

36029006903 is a census tract in the Five Points area of Buffalo, NY. It scores 7.5/10 for landlords. Population here is 1,771. The severe-burden share is 30%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
7.5
Elevated
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 25% Owners 57%
Tract context
Occupied units736
Renter share43.2%
SVI overall0.58
Poverty rate9.0%
Median income$78,889

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 5 tracts In Five Points
Very Low
Within parent city
7 th percentile
Rank, 7th percentileLowHigh
#85 of 91 tracts In Buffalo
Very Low
Within county
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#97 of 260 tracts In Erie County
Elevated
Within state
41 th percentile
Rank, 41st percentileLowHigh
#3,169 of 5,394 tracts In New York
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Buffalo and the region

Centroid at 42.9052, -78.8850 · click any tract to drill in

Why Five Points scores 7.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Buffalo
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
9.0% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$1,343 rent vs county FMR
6.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Buffalo
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Buffalo
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Buffalo
7.5

How Five Points compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Five Points risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.5This tracttract 0069037.9Buffaloparent city6.8Countyavg tract in county7.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 58

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Five Points. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Five Points

At $1,343 a month, rents run 28% over what the rest of Buffalo commands. The score leans hardest on local political climate at 8/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 8/10.

Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.2/10. The voucher gap is 14.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Against the Erie County average of 6.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.7 points.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Buffalo. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. Nationally it ranks #10,320 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 42% of renters. Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $78,889.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 36029006903

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36029006903?

Census tract 36029006903 in the Five Points neighborhood scores 7.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 36029006903?

Median gross rent is $1,343/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 36029006903?

9.0% of residents in tract 36029006903 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,771.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 36029006903?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 58th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 25th, minority 63th, housing 59th.
Q5

Is tract 36029006903 considered part of Five Points?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36029006903 fall within Five Points (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 36029006903 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 36029006903 compare to Buffalo overall?

Tract 36029006903 scores 7.5/10, lower than the parent city of Buffalo at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Buffalo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 36029006903 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Buffalo

Top eight tracts in Buffalo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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