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Neighborhood · Ranked #1,455 of 84,120 nationally

Five Points Eviction Risk: High , Buffalo

Tract 36029006901 · Erie County, NY · pop 4,221 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

The Five Points neighborhood of Buffalo anchors census tract 36029006901, which lands at 6.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #8,448 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

42% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $954 a month against an average household income of $55,061 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. Renters make up 64% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
8.3
High
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27% Stable renters 37% Owners 36%
Tract context
Occupied units1,572
Renter share63.9%
SVI overall0.82
Poverty rate24.9%
Median income$55,061

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 5 tracts In Five Points
Very High
Within parent city
39 th percentile
Rank, 39th percentileLowHigh
#56 of 91 tracts In Buffalo
Low
Within county
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#55 of 260 tracts In Erie County
High
Within state
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#683 of 5,394 tracts In New York
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Buffalo and the region

Centroid at 42.9104, -78.8918 · click any tract to drill in

Why Five Points scores 8.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Buffalo
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
24.9% poverty · this tract
6.2
Supply constraint
$954 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Buffalo
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Buffalo
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Buffalo
7.5

How Five Points compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Five Points risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 8.38.3This tracttract 006901Buffalo: 9.49.4Buffaloparent cityCounty: 6.06.0Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.95.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 82

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Five Points. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Five Points

The score leans hardest on eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Buffalo eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Erie County average of 6.1 and above the New York statewide average of 6.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

In CDC survey modeling, about 24.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 14.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 36029006901

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36029006901?

Census tract 36029006901 in the Five Points neighborhood scores 8.3/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 36029006901?

Median gross rent is $954/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 36029006901?

24.9% of residents in tract 36029006901 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,221.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 36029006901?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 82th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 71th, household 96th, minority 80th, housing 53th.
Q5

Is tract 36029006901 considered part of Five Points?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36029006901 fall within Five Points (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 36029006901 struggle to pay rent?

About 24.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 36029006901 compare to Buffalo overall?

Tract 36029006901 scores 8.3/10, lower than the parent city of Buffalo at 9.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Buffalo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 36029006901 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Buffalo

Top eight tracts in Buffalo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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