Five Points Eviction Risk: High , Buffalo

The severe-burden share is 21%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Against Erie County at 44.6%, 55% of renters here are cost-burdened.

68% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. The dominant input is local political climate at 8/10.

SNAP participation runs 29.6% against 15.2% nationally. Sitting well above the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 8/10. Food insecurity runs 31.1% against 17.8% nationally.

Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.1/10. The poverty rate is 23%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

At $831 a month, rents run 21% under what the rest of Buffalo commands. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Buffalo. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. Nationally it ranks #3,082 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.