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Census Tract · Ranked #5,730 of 84,120 nationally

Bay Shore Eviction Risk: High

Tract 36103147301 · Suffolk County, NY · pop 2,517

Census tract 36103147301 covers part of Bay Shore, NY, and scores 8.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,517 residents. Cost burden runs 33% here against 51.3% across Suffolk County.

Risk score
8.4
High
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10% Stable renters 20% Owners 70%
Tract context
Occupied units988
Renter share29.3%
SVI overall0.53
Poverty rate18.6%
Median income$47,410

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 7 tracts In Bay Shore
Moderate
Within county
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#17 of 384 tracts In Suffolk County
Very High
Within state
57 th percentile
Rank, 57th percentileLowHigh
#2,305 of 5,394 tracts In New York
Elevated
National
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#5,730 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bay Shore and the region

Centroid at 40.7333, -73.2417 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bay Shore scores 8.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bay Shore
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
18.6% poverty · this tract
4.6
Supply constraint
$2,613 rent vs county FMR
5.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bay Shore
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bay Shore
7.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bay Shore
6.4

How Bay Shore compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bay Shore risk score vs. parent city / county / state8.4This tracttract 1473017.0Bay Shoreparent city6.3Countyavg tract in county7.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 53

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bay Shore

Annualized rent equals 66% of average household income of $47,410, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Severe burden reaches 30%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Against the Suffolk County average of 6.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.1 points.

The score leans hardest on rent-regulation exposure at 8.5/10. At $2,613 a month, rents run 27% over what the rest of Bay Shore commands. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.8/10.

Food insecurity runs 29.1% against 17.8% nationally. Housing insecurity runs 24.8% against 14.2% nationally. The poverty rate is 19%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Sitting well above the midpoint, state political climate reads 7.3/10. Nationally it ranks #5,730 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 36103147301

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36103147301?

Census tract 36103147301 in Bay Shore scores 8.4/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 36103147301?

Median gross rent is $2,613/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 33% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 36103147301?

18.6% of residents in tract 36103147301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,517.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 36103147301?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 53th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 66th, household 26th, minority 85th, housing 33th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 36103147301 struggle to pay rent?

About 24.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 36103147301 compare to Bay Shore overall?

Tract 36103147301 scores 8.4/10, higher than the parent city of Bay Shore at 7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bay Shore eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bay Shore

Top eight tracts in Bay Shore ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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