Within parent city
83
th percentile
High
Census Tract · Ranked #23,554 of 84,120 nationally
Bay Shore Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 36103146004 · Suffolk County, NY · pop 1,602
For landlords sizing up Bay Shore, census tract 36103146004 carries an elevated eviction-risk score of 6.5/10. On the national scale it ranks #11,363 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
100% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 65% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,773 a month against an average household income of $75,577 a year, roughly 28% of income at the averages. Renters make up 14% of occupied homes.
Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%
Stable renters 0%
Owners 86%
Tract context
Occupied units476
Renter share13.9%
SVI overall0.89
Poverty rate17.5%
Median income$75,577
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
95
th percentile
Very High
Within state
32
th percentile
Low
National
72
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bay Shore and the region
Centroid at 40.7371, -73.2576 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bay Shore scores 5.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Bay Shore
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
17.5% poverty · this tract
4.4
Supply constraint
$1,773 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bay Shore
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bay Shore
7.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bay Shore
6.4
How Bay Shore compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 89
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 75%Socioeconomic
- 91%Household composition
- 82%Racial/ethnic minority
- 85%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 24.1%Housing insecurity
- 13.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 28.6%Food insecurity
- 23.4%SNAP enrollment
- 13.3%Transit barriers
- 15.3%No health insurance
- 17.2%Frequent mental distress
- 32.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bay Shore
What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 8.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bay Shore eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Suffolk County average of 5.6 and in line with the New York statewide average of 6.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 24.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 13.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is Hispanic or Latino and Asian and ranks around the 89th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 36103146004
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36103146004?
Census tract 36103146004 in Bay Shore scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 36103146004?
Median gross rent is $1,773/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 100% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 36103146004?
17.5% of residents in tract 36103146004 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,602.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 36103146004?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 75th, household 91th, minority 82th, housing 85th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 36103146004 struggle to pay rent?
About 24.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 36103146004 compare to Bay Shore overall?
Tract 36103146004 scores 5.1/10, lower than the parent city of Bay Shore at 8.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bay Shore eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Bay Shore
Top eight tracts in Bay Shore ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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