Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #28,017 of 84,120 nationally
Bay Shore Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 36103147302 · Suffolk County, NY · pop 4,372
Bay Shore is where census tract 36103147302 sits, home to 4,372 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 6.3/10. That is riskier than about 82% of US census tracts.
60% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 34% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,931 a month against an average household income of $82,848 a year, roughly 28% of income at the averages. Renters make up 67% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40%
Stable renters 27%
Owners 33%
Tract context
Occupied units2,087
Renter share67.3%
SVI overall0.45
Poverty rate12.4%
Median income$82,848
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
93
th percentile
Very High
Within state
30
th percentile
Low
National
67
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bay Shore and the region
Centroid at 40.7223, -73.2356 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bay Shore scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Bay Shore
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
12.4% poverty · this tract
3.1
Supply constraint
$1,931 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bay Shore
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bay Shore
7.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bay Shore
6.4
How Bay Shore compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 45
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 37%Socioeconomic
- 22%Household composition
- 48%Racial/ethnic minority
- 75%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.0%Housing insecurity
- 8.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 16.8%Food insecurity
- 13.2%SNAP enrollment
- 8.4%Transit barriers
- 9.1%No health insurance
- 15.5%Frequent mental distress
- 28.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bay Shore
The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 8.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bay Shore eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Suffolk County average of 5.6 and in line with the New York statewide average of 6.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 15.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 45th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 36103147302
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36103147302?
Census tract 36103147302 in Bay Shore scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 36103147302?
Median gross rent is $1,931/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 36103147302?
12.4% of residents in tract 36103147302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,372.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 36103147302?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 45th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 37th, household 22th, minority 48th, housing 75th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 36103147302 struggle to pay rent?
About 15.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 36103147302 compare to Bay Shore overall?
Tract 36103147302 scores 4.8/10, lower than the parent city of Bay Shore at 8.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bay Shore eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Bay Shore
Top eight tracts in Bay Shore ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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