Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #5,730 of 84,120 nationally
Bay Shore Eviction Risk: High
Tract 36103147202 · Suffolk County, NY · pop 2,296
Tract 36103147202 sits in Bay Shore eviction risk, NY, carrying an eviction-risk score of 8.4/10. Population here is 2,296. Cost burden runs around two-thirds here against 51.3% across Suffolk County.
Risk score
8.4
High
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units756
Renter share46.2%
SVI overall0.56
Poverty rate14.6%
Median income$75,958
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
95
th percentile
Very High
Within state
57
th percentile
Elevated
National
93
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bay Shore and the region
Centroid at 40.7285, -73.2580 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bay Shore scores 8.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Bay Shore
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
14.6% poverty · this tract
3.6
Supply constraint
$1,929 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bay Shore
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bay Shore
7.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bay Shore
6.4
How Bay Shore compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 56
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 43%Socioeconomic
- 29%Household composition
- 80%Racial/ethnic minority
- 74%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 23.1%Housing insecurity
- 12.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 26.6%Food insecurity
- 21.6%SNAP enrollment
- 12.5%Transit barriers
- 14.2%No health insurance
- 18.0%Frequent mental distress
- 31.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bay Shore
The severe-burden share is 30%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. It sits 2.1 points above the Suffolk County average of 6.3. What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 8.5/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.8/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.5/10.
Housing insecurity runs 23.1% against 14.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 26.6% against 17.8% nationally. That is riskier than roughly 93% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
Average gross rent is $1,929, close to the Bay Shore average. Annual rent works out to 30% of average household income of $75,958.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 36103147202
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36103147202?
Census tract 36103147202 in Bay Shore scores 8.4/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 36103147202?
Median gross rent is $1,929/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 36103147202?
14.6% of residents in tract 36103147202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,296.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 36103147202?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 56th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 43th, household 29th, minority 80th, housing 74th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 36103147202 struggle to pay rent?
About 23.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 36103147202 compare to Bay Shore overall?
Tract 36103147202 scores 8.4/10, higher than the parent city of Bay Shore at 7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bay Shore eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Bay Shore
Top eight tracts in Bay Shore ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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