Within parent city
75
th percentile
High
Census Tract · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally
Fayetteville Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 37051001402 · Cumberland County, NC · pop 2,541 · 76% of tract blocks fall in Fayetteville
With a score of 5/10, tract 37051001402 in Fayetteville, NC reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 37%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33%
Stable renters 33%
Owners 34%
Tract context
Occupied units969
Renter share65.1%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate27.0%
Median income$41,250
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
76
th percentile
High
Within state
80
th percentile
High
National
61
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Fayetteville and the region
Centroid at 35.0403, -78.8395 · click any tract to drill in
Why Fayetteville scores 5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Fayetteville
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
27.0% poverty · this tract
6.7
Supply constraint
$957 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fayetteville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fayetteville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fayetteville
3.0
How Fayetteville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 98
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 98%Socioeconomic
- 98%Household composition
- 84%Racial/ethnic minority
- 79%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 25.4%Housing insecurity
- 19.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 34.2%Food insecurity
- 33.6%SNAP enrollment
- 17.5%Transit barriers
- 14.4%No health insurance
- 21.2%Frequent mental distress
- 44.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Fayetteville
What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.3/10. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10.
65% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. The poverty rate is 27%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Disability prevalence runs 44.9% against 31.5% nationally. At $957 a month, rents run 23% under what the rest of Fayetteville commands.
Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.3/10. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 19.5% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Against the Cumberland County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.0 points.
Cost burden runs 50% here against 45.9% across Cumberland County. On the national scale it lands near the 61st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 37051001402
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37051001402?
Census tract 37051001402 in Fayetteville scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 37051001402?
Median gross rent is $957/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 37051001402?
27.0% of residents in tract 37051001402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,541.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 37051001402?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 98th, minority 84th, housing 79th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 37051001402 struggle to pay rent?
About 25.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 19.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 37051001402 compare to Fayetteville overall?
Tract 37051001402 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Fayetteville at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fayetteville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Fayetteville
Top eight tracts in Fayetteville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NC
37051003302
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
37051003800
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
37051002301
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
37051001000
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
37051002302
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
37051001100
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
37051002401
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
37051002505
5
/ 10 · Moderate
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