Neighborhood · Ranked #47,371 of 84,120 nationally

Trinity Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Durham

Tract 37063000302 · Durham County, NC · pop 3,662 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

37063000302 is a census tract in the Trinity Park area of Durham, NC. It scores 4.1/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,662 residents. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.4/10.

Risk score

4.1

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 27% Owners 54%

Tract context

Occupied units1,690

Renter share46.0%

SVI overall0.47

Poverty rate13.6%

Median income$86,775

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Durham and the region

Centroid at 36.0111, -78.9046 · click any tract to drill in

Why Trinity Park scores 4.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Durham

7.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.1

State political climate

North Carolina legislature & governorship

2.3

Economic stress

13.6% poverty · this tract

3.4

Supply constraint

$1,333 rent vs county FMR

2.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Durham

2.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Durham

6.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Durham

4.5

How Trinity Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 47

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

43%Socioeconomic
42%Household composition
47%Racial/ethnic minority
55%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

38%Grade A
0%Grade B
42%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.¹

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

2,085Total filings over 11 yrs
20.99%Avg annual filing rate
35.0%Peak (2005)
81Filings in 2017 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2005 to 2017

Filings dropped 75% over the past 11 months.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

8.3%Housing insecurity
5.3%Utility-shutoff threat
9.0%Food insecurity
6.5%SNAP enrollment
5.8%Transit barriers
7.7%No health insurance
14.6%Frequent mental distress
22.5%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Trinity Park

Severe burden reaches 29%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. On the high side, regional political climate reads 8.1/10.

Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10. Food insecurity runs 9.0% against 17.8% nationally.

SNAP participation runs 6.5% against 15.2% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 2,085 evictions over 11 years of observation. At $1,333 a month, rents run 12% under what the rest of Durham commands.

Filings peaked in 2005 at 35.0% of renter households. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Durham. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 21.0% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #47,371 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.2/10. 42% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 37063000302

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37063000302?

Census tract 37063000302 in the Trinity Park neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 37063000302?

Median gross rent is $1,333/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 37063000302?

13.6% of residents in tract 37063000302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,662.

How socially vulnerable is tract 37063000302?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 47th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 43th, household 42th, minority 47th, housing 55th.

Is tract 37063000302 considered part of Trinity Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37063000302 fall within Trinity Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37063000302?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2,085 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 37063000302 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 20.99% of renter households, peaking at 35.0% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

What share of households in tract 37063000302 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 37063000302 compare to Durham overall?

Tract 37063000302 scores 4.1/10, right in line with the parent city of Durham at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Durham eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 37063000302 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Durham

Top eight tracts in Durham ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Eviction Lab tract-level court records (2000-2018) and Eviction Tracking System, Princeton University. Open Data Commons Attribution license. evictionlab.org