Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #47,371 of 84,120 nationally
Trinity Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Durham
Tract 37063000302 · Durham County, NC · pop 3,662 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
37063000302 is a census tract in the Trinity Park area of Durham, NC. It scores 4.1/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,662 residents. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.4/10.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19%
Stable renters 27%
Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units1,690
Renter share46.0%
SVI overall0.47
Poverty rate13.6%
Median income$86,775
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
55
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
54
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
58
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Durham and the region
Centroid at 36.0111, -78.9046 · click any tract to drill in
Why Trinity Park scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Durham
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
13.6% poverty · this tract
3.4
Supply constraint
$1,333 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Durham
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Durham
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Durham
4.5
How Trinity Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 47
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 43%Socioeconomic
- 42%Household composition
- 47%Racial/ethnic minority
- 55%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 38%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 42%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 2,085Total filings over 11 yrs
- 20.99%Avg annual filing rate
- 35.0%Peak (2005)
- 81Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 75% over the past 11 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.3%Housing insecurity
- 5.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.0%Food insecurity
- 6.5%SNAP enrollment
- 5.8%Transit barriers
- 7.7%No health insurance
- 14.6%Frequent mental distress
- 22.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Trinity Park
Severe burden reaches 29%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. On the high side, regional political climate reads 8.1/10.
Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10. Food insecurity runs 9.0% against 17.8% nationally.
SNAP participation runs 6.5% against 15.2% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 2,085 evictions over 11 years of observation. At $1,333 a month, rents run 12% under what the rest of Durham commands.
Filings peaked in 2005 at 35.0% of renter households. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Durham. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 21.0% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #47,371 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.2/10. 42% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 37063000302
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37063000302?
Census tract 37063000302 in the Trinity Park neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 37063000302?
Median gross rent is $1,333/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 37063000302?
13.6% of residents in tract 37063000302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,662.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 37063000302?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 47th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 43th, household 42th, minority 47th, housing 55th.
Q5
Is tract 37063000302 considered part of Trinity Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37063000302 fall within Trinity Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37063000302?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2,085 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 37063000302 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 20.99% of renter households, peaking at 35.0% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 37063000302 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 37063000302 compare to Durham overall?
Tract 37063000302 scores 4.1/10, right in line with the parent city of Durham at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Durham eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 37063000302 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Durham
Top eight tracts in Durham ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NC
Old West Durham
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Burch Avenue
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Beech Lake
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Keene
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Hillcrest
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Hillcrest
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Swann's Mill
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Holloway Place
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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