Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Burch Avenue Eviction Risk: Moderate , Durham
Tract 37063000500 · Durham County, NC · pop 4,432 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
37063000500 is a census tract in the Burch Avenue area of Durham, NC. It scores 5.4/10 for landlords. Population here is 4,432. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.4/10.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 42%
Stable renters 33%
Owners 25%
Tract context
Occupied units1,506
Renter share75.0%
SVI overall0.90
Poverty rate27.5%
Median income$42,000
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
91
th percentile
Very High
Within county
76
th percentile
High
Within state
92
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Durham and the region
Centroid at 35.9975, -78.9210 · click any tract to drill in
Why Burch Avenue scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Durham
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
27.5% poverty · this tract
6.9
Supply constraint
$991 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Durham
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Durham
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Durham
4.5
How Burch Avenue compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 90
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 83%Socioeconomic
- 31%Household composition
- 75%Racial/ethnic minority
- 100%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 1%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 44%Grade C
- 23%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 2,848Total filings over 11 yrs
- 23.09%Avg annual filing rate
- 38.8%Peak (2006)
- 136Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 63% over the past 11 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 17.6%Housing insecurity
- 12.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 24.0%Food insecurity
- 21.0%SNAP enrollment
- 13.5%Transit barriers
- 13.9%No health insurance
- 19.6%Frequent mental distress
- 34.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Burch Avenue
Severe burden reaches 27%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Average gross rent is $991, 34% below the Durham average.
Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10. Against Durham County at 43.8%, 56% of renters here are cost-burdened.
This is renter territory: 75% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. The poverty rate is 28%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Running hot, regional political climate reads 8.1/10.
It sits 1.3 points above the Durham County average of 4.1. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 2,848 filings here across 11 tracked years.
The worst year on record was 2006, when 38.8% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Durham. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 37063000500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37063000500?
Census tract 37063000500 in the Burch Avenue neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 37063000500?
Median gross rent is $991/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 37063000500?
27.5% of residents in tract 37063000500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,432.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 37063000500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 90th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 83th, household 31th, minority 75th, housing 100th.
Q5
Is tract 37063000500 considered part of Burch Avenue?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37063000500 fall within Burch Avenue (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37063000500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2,848 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 37063000500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 23.09% of renter households, peaking at 38.8% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 37063000500 struggle to pay rent?
About 17.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 37063000500 compare to Durham overall?
Tract 37063000500 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Durham at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Durham eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 37063000500 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 23% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Durham
Top eight tracts in Durham ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NC
Beech Lake
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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Hillcrest
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Keene
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Hillcrest
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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Swann's Mill
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Holloway Place
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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Annie Day Shepard Dormitory
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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Annie Day Shepard Dormitory
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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