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Neighborhood · Ranked #16,850 of 84,120 nationally

Burch Avenue Eviction Risk: Moderate , Durham

Tract 37063000500 · Durham County, NC · pop 4,432 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Tract 37063000500, home to 4,432 residents in Burch Avenue in Durham, scores 6.5/10 for landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #11,397 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 56% of renter households, a severe level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $991 a month against an average household income of $42,000 a year, roughly 28% of income at the averages. Renters make up 75% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 42% Stable renters 33% Owners 25%
Tract context
Occupied units1,506
Renter share75.0%
SVI overall0.90
Poverty rate27.5%
Median income$42,000

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Burch Avenue
Moderate
Within parent city
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 70 tracts In Durham
Very High
Within county
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 68 tracts In Durham County
Very High
Within state
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#231 of 2,660 tracts In North Carolina
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Durham and the region

Centroid at 35.9975, -78.9210 · click any tract to drill in

Why Burch Avenue scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Durham
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
27.5% poverty · this tract
6.9
Supply constraint
$991 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Durham
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Durham
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Durham
4.5

How Burch Avenue compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Burch Avenue risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.65.6This tracttract 000500Durham: 3.43.4Durhamparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 90

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2,848Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 23.09%Avg annual filing rate
  • 38.8%Peak (2006)
  • 136Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2005 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 370630005002005: 363 filings (33.62/100 renter HHs)2006: 419 filings (38.81/100 renter HHs)2009: 315 filings (29.18/100 renter HHs)2010: 292 filings (21.24/100 renter HHs)2011: 259 filings (23.44/100 renter HHs)2012: 220 filings (19.91/100 renter HHs)2013: 256 filings (23.17/100 renter HHs)2014: 194 filings (17.56/100 renter HHs)2015: 209 filings (18.91/100 renter HHs)2016: 185 filings (16.23/100 renter HHs)2017: 136 filings (11.93/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 63% over the past 11 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Burch Avenue

What moves this score most is economic stress at 6.9/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Durham eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Durham County average of 5.9 and above the North Carolina statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 2,848 eviction filings here over 11 tracked years, with about 23.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 38.8% of renter households in 2006.

Part of this tract, about 23% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was C ("Declining"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 37063000500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37063000500?

Census tract 37063000500 in the Burch Avenue neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 37063000500?

Median gross rent is $991/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 37063000500?

27.5% of residents in tract 37063000500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,432.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 37063000500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 90th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 83th, household 31th, minority 75th, housing 100th.
Q5

Is tract 37063000500 considered part of Burch Avenue?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37063000500 fall within Burch Avenue (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37063000500?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2,848 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 37063000500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 23.09% of renter households, peaking at 38.8% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 37063000500 struggle to pay rent?

About 17.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 37063000500 compare to Durham overall?

Tract 37063000500 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of Durham at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Durham eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 37063000500 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 23% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Durham

Top eight tracts in Durham ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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