Neighborhood · Ranked #63,308 of 84,120 nationally

Creekside at Bethpage Eviction Risk: Lower , Durham

Tract 37063002038 · Durham County, NC · pop 6,399 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

With a score of 3.2/10, tract 37063002038 in the Creekside at Bethpage area of Durham, NC reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 6,399 residents. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.4/10.

Risk score

3.2

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 29% Owners 56%

Tract context

Occupied units3,210

Renter share43.3%

SVI overall0.20

Poverty rate6.5%

Median income$92,583

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Durham and the region

Centroid at 35.9116, -78.8316 · click any tract to drill in

Why Creekside at Bethpage scores 3.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Durham

7.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.1

State political climate

North Carolina legislature & governorship

2.3

Economic stress

6.5% poverty · this tract

1.6

Supply constraint

$1,588 rent vs county FMR

3.5

Rent control risk

Inherited from Durham

2.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Durham

6.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Durham

4.5

How Creekside at Bethpage compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 20

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

28%Socioeconomic
15%Household composition
70%Racial/ethnic minority
18%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

9.1%Housing insecurity
5.7%Utility-shutoff threat
9.6%Food insecurity
6.8%SNAP enrollment
5.9%Transit barriers
7.0%No health insurance
13.7%Frequent mental distress
22.8%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Creekside at Bethpage

On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.6/10. around a third of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Durham County average of 43.8%. On the high side, regional political climate reads 8.1/10.

Against the Durham County average of 4.1, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.9 points. SNAP participation runs 6.8% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 9.6% against 17.8% nationally.

Nationally it ranks #63,308 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Average gross rent is $1,588, close to the Durham average. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $92,583.

43% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 37063002038

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37063002038?

Census tract 37063002038 in the Creekside at Bethpage neighborhood scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 37063002038?

Median gross rent is $1,588/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 37063002038?

6.5% of residents in tract 37063002038 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,399.

How socially vulnerable is tract 37063002038?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 20th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 28th, household 15th, minority 70th, housing 18th.

Is tract 37063002038 considered part of Creekside at Bethpage?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37063002038 fall within Creekside at Bethpage (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 37063002038 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 37063002038 compare to Durham overall?

Tract 37063002038 scores 3.2/10, lower than the parent city of Durham at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Durham eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Durham

Top eight tracts in Durham ranked by composite eviction-risk score.