Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #58,384 of 84,120 nationally
Creekside at Bethpage Eviction Risk: Lower , Durham
Tract 37063002038 · Durham County, NC · pop 6,399 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
For landlords sizing up the Creekside at Bethpage area of Durham, census tract 37063002038 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.5/10. It lands near the 56th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
34% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 6% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,588 a month against an average household income of $92,583 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. About 43% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%
Stable renters 29%
Owners 56%
Tract context
Occupied units3,210
Renter share43.3%
SVI overall0.20
Poverty rate6.5%
Median income$92,583
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
26
th percentile
Low
Within county
24
th percentile
Low
Within state
31
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Durham and the region
Centroid at 35.9116, -78.8316 · click any tract to drill in
Why Creekside at Bethpage scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Durham
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
6.5% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$1,588 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Durham
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Durham
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Durham
4.5
How Creekside at Bethpage compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 20
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 28%Socioeconomic
- 15%Household composition
- 70%Racial/ethnic minority
- 18%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.1%Housing insecurity
- 5.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.6%Food insecurity
- 6.8%SNAP enrollment
- 5.9%Transit barriers
- 7.0%No health insurance
- 13.7%Frequent mental distress
- 22.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Creekside at Bethpage
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 6.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Durham eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Durham County average of 5.9 and in line with the North Carolina statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 20th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
In CDC survey modeling, about 9.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 37063002038
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37063002038?
Census tract 37063002038 in the Creekside at Bethpage neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 37063002038?
Median gross rent is $1,588/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 37063002038?
6.5% of residents in tract 37063002038 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,399.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 37063002038?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 20th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 28th, household 15th, minority 70th, housing 18th.
Q5
Is tract 37063002038 considered part of Creekside at Bethpage?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37063002038 fall within Creekside at Bethpage (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 37063002038 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 37063002038 compare to Durham overall?
Tract 37063002038 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Durham at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Durham eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Durham
Top eight tracts in Durham ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NC
The Heights
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NC
Crest Street
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NC
Holloway Place
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NC
Burch Avenue
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NC
Annie Day Shepard Dormitory
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NC
Hillcrest
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Keene
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Old West Durham
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
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